Politica Internazionale

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mercoledì 26 febbraio 2014

Ukraine: Russia alert the troops

Moscow has alarmed the troops on the border with Ukraine , and also those in the Crimea, where the unrest between supporters of the new course of Kiev, which supports the decision to join the EU , and the pro-Russian , is a cause for great concern in the Kremlin . In particular, the concern belonging to ethnic Russian riots , of course favorable to Moscow , against persons belonging to ethnic Tatar in favor of Europe . For Russia, the greatest danger is losing its naval base in Sevastopol, that despite the agreements , could be subject to tensions , because one of the possible developments of the new Ukrainian course would be to not tolerate the presence of Russian armed forces on ground of Kiev. At the same time , in retaliation to the previous government , in many areas of Ukraine the status of the Russian language is no longer equal to the Ukrainian and this has been a source of renewed fighting in a country increasingly divided . Putin's warning to the date of his troops is a triple meaning : the first is to maintain the status quo in the Crimea , the second to protect the population of ethnic Russians in favor of the annexation of the Crimea and the third is a warning for the foreign powers , found guilty of interference in areas of Russian influence. The level of tension is gone and so is likely to rise further if there will be a turning point both internally and Ukraine , both at the international level . On this side of the U.S. and NATO, in fact, did not do much to ease the tension. The attitude of foreign powers was wrong from the start , too intrusive in the internal affairs of the country and this has exacerbated a state of latent conflict , which has affected the internal dialogue . This aspect is especially true for Russia , which is inserted in the internal dynamics through the economic side , the weaker of the Ukrainian country , exacerbating the tensions existing between the opposing factions . Europe has been the weak side of the international presence , for not having been able to negotiate with Russia in a determined and finally the entrance of the United States , the issue has exacerbated the minds permanently . The crisis, which certainly is not external in nature , the climate of the country was already too hot for some time, but the action of international actors has accelerated the events , which have turned into tragedy. Currently there is a real risk of balkanization of the country, that a possible Russian intervention can only aggravate . Without a negotiation at international level who can limit the interference of external actors Ukraine, there is the real possibility of entering into a phase characterized by strong violence, which threatens to turn into civil war. Better to avoid a drift of the genre and let those who do not want Europe to follow its destiny , but this is the most reasonable hypothesis does not seem acceptable to the U.S. and Europe .

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