The conquest of Iraq Ramadi and prepares the defeat of the Islamic State

The final conquest of Ramadi was announced officially by the government in Baghdad. From a strictly military reconquest of the city center, capital of the province of Al Anbar, is the opening of a preferential way towards the conquest of Mosul, from which, in turn, it should start from the defeat of the only final Islamic state, at least in Iraqi territory. However, there are still pockets of resistance in the peripheral parts of the city, represented by the last departments in folding terrorists: they are the last survivors of the attack of the regular troops of the state of Iraq. The reconquest of Ramadi has been the focus of the coalition against the caliphate, for its strategic importance: it is safe to say that holds dominion over the city can decide the fate of the conflict. Located just 90 kilometers from the capital, Baghdad, the conquest of Ramadi, which took place last May, as part of the Islamic state had feared a gradual advance towards the political heart of the country and therefore a total conquest of Iraq by the caliphate. This factor would have had the power to allow an expansion of the sovereignty of the Islamic state, which would make it even more difficult to defeat. The preparation of the battle began in November and the same clashes lasted for a relatively long period, despite massive deployment of the support plane; This is because you chose not to deploy on the ground actual Shiites, so as not to alienate the bulk of Sunni tribes. The clashes in the ground, in fact, had the distinction of being occurred between the Sunni Islamic matrix; This strategy has been considered the most effective way to regain the confidence of the Sunni tribes, unique political structures remained in force in the area. The signal of the government in Baghdad has been so clear, despite strong Shiite Iraqi executive, a willingness to resume dialogue with the Sunni, initially in sharp contrast to the government, it was crucial at the present time and will continue in the future to avoid another drifts towards terrorist organizations. This attitude has been agreed with the White House, which has pushed for this solution, also to avoid repeating the mistake the previous government only to have favored an expression of the Shiite minority. Despite the military work is not completed, because you need to restore the sovereignty of Baghdad in the country still occupied by the Islamic state, the Iraqi government must begin immediately in the territories reconquered the institutional and social stabilization, by establishing state structures capable to allow current dialogue with the capital in a framework of respect for local autonomy. The company Sunni disappointed by the government with a Shiite majority, had initially supported the Islamic state, but left to the brutality of the application of Islamic law which occurred in a distorted and violent; now you must start a process where you have to establish a mutual trust to avoid the recurrence of a similar event. Iraqi scenario, then, despite all the difficulties present, seem to glimpse real opportunities for output, the military, the political, if you manage to find a way to reconcile the needs of the various parts that form the whole state: Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds; the alternative is a division between the state, especially between Sunnis and Shiites on a federal governing Kurdish region or the effective separation of the state into three separate entities. This possibility does not seem to be acceptable to the United States, who fear excessive Iranian influence on Iraqi Shiites and even the creation of two opposing blocs, based on religious, neighbors and therefore potentially capable of creating changes in the balance. The federal solution seems the most appropriate if you will balance the needs of the individual parts with the general state, whose government must be able to become more inclusive decision-making processes, in relation to all stakeholders. This perspective, in a sense, optimistic, can not be, at least for the moment, applied to Syria, where the deep differences between the Assad regime, the democratic opposition, Islamic religious groups not belonging to the Islamic state does not allow a unity of purpose, even on combating the Islamic state, which could form a common basis for developing a dialogue for a potential deal. Syrian scenario weighs considerably the entry into the field of Russia, which is likely to return to the center of negotiations Assad, a delaying means for the possible peace process, if for now the priority is to defeat the Islamic state, Also in Syria you should be ahead of the times to create the basis for future coexistence, but that does not seem possible at present, because of disagreements on the presence or absence of the dictator of Damascus; yet it is necessary to develop a model which can even conceive the presence of Assad, maybe in a small portion of the territory of the Syrian state, considering alternative solutions for other areas.