Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 31 marzo 2016

The arrival of the government supported by the United Nations causes tension in Libya

Using a subtle difference in the definition of the group that arrived yesterday in Tripoli, representing the government recognized by the United Nations, the prime minister-designate Fayez Al Sarraj proclaimed the start of operations of its Executive. However, the semantic difference between "Presidential Council", understood as a small group of government, to all the executive itself, reveals the intention of the Prime Minister not to raise the level of confrontation, already perceived as high, with other governments in the Libyan country. The very way of arriving from Tunis the head of government, who arrived in the capital with a vessel, instead of a plane reveals all the difficulties of the task before the government supported by the United Nations. In Libya, there are currently three governments, plus the power exercised by the Islamic state, which exploits the political weakness and division of the country. In addition to the government, which should be of national unity, which is in favor of the United Nations, there is the government of Tripoli, which is characterized by a more or less moderate trend confessional and the refugee in Tobruk, which according to the electoral verdict would the legitimate and recognized by the international community. The attitude of the government in Tripoli to the Executive of the United Nations is open hostility and indeed it has called "intruders" group and appealed to all the revolutionaries to mobilize against this executive who is considered a usurper. The government of the United nations is housed in a Navy base Libyan military, which was immediately surrounded by armed supporters of the means of the government of Tripoli, causing a lot of tension in the city. There is also a real risk that we give impetus to a strong contrast between the different arms of the Libyan armed forces, as the Marina, as we have seen, it supports the government of the United Nations, while the army, through his spokesman, He stated his opposition to the religious connotation of the government too. This point would have to be a more in-depth by the United Nations to reflect why, as the Prime Minister Fayez Al Sarraj stressed that Sharia is the source of the right to apply to the Libyan state. If this move is designed to reach a settlement with the government of Tripoli, it seems to have failed, while the open opposition of the army represents a potentially greatly destabilizing factor in the unification process of the country. Even with the government of Tobruk relations are not good, as the legitimately elected executive has failed for five consecutive times the confidence to the executive of the United Nations. All these details indicate how likely the failure of this government and raise questions about the choice of the United Nations, which seems a gamble, as it seeks to impose in a country where there are already two governments, a third executive who introduce anything contrast ; also the overtly sectarian nature of that government, which, remember, recognize Islamic law as the fundamental law of the state, appears a disturbance factor in the Libyan society and in contrast to any future peace perspective, threatening to replicate the situation in Egypt, where it It has triggered a military coup, even the Libyan army is against the Islamization of politics, with the current effects that are visible to everyone. Perhaps one solution would be to give rise to a division of the country on the basis of this buoyancy before the Italian colonial conquest, which caused the formation of the cone only nation Libya without the necessary historical basis, political and cultural factors that could support their 'unification, except by a form of authoritarian government. To do this, however, it is necessary to leave the central part of the country from the occupation of the Islamic State and the intention of the Western powers is to not engage directly on the ground, but to create the conditions so that this conflict is conducted and won by the Libyans. The intention of the United Nations, seen in this perspective, it might make sense, however, the choice does not unite but it seems to get even more divisions, weakening the structure of the country and encouraging the very presence of the Caliphate troops. In essence the remedy designed by the United Nations appears pejorative and, if you want to bet on a future division of the country, to bring peace to the entire territory could be considered a form of temporary collaboration, based on a few fundamental points, between Tripoli and Tobruk, aimed the liberation of the territory occupied by the Islamic state and then deal more serene a possible administrative division of the country in more sovereign units, even federated, possibly allied to the West from which they should have all the economic and political help to stabilize the whole territory Libyan.

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