Politica Internazionale

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giovedì 1 giugno 2017

The political meanings of the agreement between China and Europe on climate

One of the effects of Trump's policy, pursuing a plan to foster American interests, but without seeking mediation with other international subjects, was to bring China and the European Union closer together. This new scenario can not be welcomed by the White House, which, with the new administration, identifies Beijing as the most dangerous opponent in the geopolitical and economic scenario. China's approach to Brussels thus becomes a particular unforeseen situation, which Trump and its staff have been unable to foresee and potentially represent a defeat, which, in addition to emerging in the short term, promises strongly negative developments in the medium to long term if the Use will not correct the direction taken. The new American president, in the desire to destroy all the work of the predecessor, has decided to pursue a political line without mediation, both internally and externally; But if the republican majority in both the US parliamentary branches guarantees at least for now a very ambitious margin of maneuver, the White House's political action on the international scene can not fail to find very difficult obstacles to overcome. Probably Trump believed that his action without mediation would have been passively suffered, especially by the American allies, an unexpected predicament, caused by apparent incompetence, which seems to go hand in hand with the absence of a predetermined plan of conduct in the field of international relations. The damage that Trump's presidency is likely to do in this area is likely to become a serious problem for the future role the US will want to keep, and in any case, even if at first, Trump's presidency is destined to have an end and those who It will replace the risk of having to reconstruct relationships with the allies from a very low level of relationships. Trying to destroy the European Union, altering free trade, and imposing a vision of the world's only favorable attitude to the White House without mediation and concessions can lead the United States to an isolation from which it will be difficult to regain the country's role Up to President Obama. In this scenario, the bilateral agreement that Beijing and Brussels intend to sign on the issue of climate, precisely to limit the effects of the American outcry from the Paris agreement, takes on a particularly peculiar value, which is the first tangible proof of the deportation of Europe From the traditional American ally. The fact that the agreement signed with China, as well as on environmental matters, could also cover matters relating to security, investment, defense and immigration means that Brussels is trying to open new channels for its own development As an alternative to the US and who is trying to do it in an autonomous way, as a subject seeking a place of primary importance on the international scene. However, this may be a risk not to be underestimated, because it is necessary to keep in mind that China is a superpower that is not governed by a democracy, a country where the consideration of civil and political rights is very low and these factors may create misunderstandings, including Remarkable, between the two parties. In any case, a road appears to be traced and if there is a common understanding on issues such as the climate of Europe and China, this can be conducive to favoring a different Chinese attitude on rights issues in a common framework of development reciprocal. The fact remains that the United States should feel embarrassed by this unprecedented convergence, which is a sort of hostile act against them, a hostile act, but it represents a more than justified reaction to a policy that is too much based on the single interest in issues Where it is necessary to seek mediation rather than a confrontational attitude. This understanding also means to warn Washington to continue the current international politics and also to announce the official opening of a hostility towards the new US President, who had been reported by several European countries' illnesses. China, for its part, has been able to exploit this situation and become part of that vacuum that Trump is creating; This is also a guarantee for both parties - China and Europe - for trade developments in both directions, which could be increased if the US were to follow Trump's election promises to implement a protectionist policy. If the United States wants to lock itself in, the globalized world will go inexorably.

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