Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
lunedì 29 giugno 2015
The significance of the referendum greek
The
solution to refer to the greek people a referendum to accept or reject
the conditions for the return of the debt, a solution appears risky and
able to delegitimize the government released last election result. In
any case, the possibility that you can check the most is that of a
government that has given up the exercise of its responsibility and
that, for this, it can only be weakened, both domestically, and
internationally. The
announcement of new elections could be a concrete hypothesis and become
a factor that can slow down any address the people greek will indicate,
in a phase where the weather is one of the most important variables. Could the Prime Minister greek choose a different route? Tsipras
appears a moderate leader after all, who wants to ensure better living
conditions to the greek people and does not want out of the euro and
Europe, but it is too influenced by the left wing of his party, which
has a specific gravity as to make down the government. New
elections could lead to disturbing scenarios, with increasing consensus
for the far right, the only force that Greece has not yet tried to
confer the power to resolve the crisis. The
question is whether the two ends of the parliament in Athens, will
accept an eventual favorable judgment by the people greek. This danger is the weakness of the executive of Athens, with the referendum trying to shield themselves of the popular will. The strategy is clear: the pronouncement of the entire electorate Greek must be the way forward. But this could not prevent forces highly motivated to implement actions to combat the outcome of the referendum. In
this case the weakness of a government, which has not taken
responsibility for independently take a decision so important, could
become a factor in the deterioration of an already very precarious
internal balance. Even
the timing of the choice of the referendum appear now too late, the
deadlines to which Greece should meet, are objectively too close, then
it would be better to go down this road long before. In
any case, what emerges, as a matter of policy outside of the case, is
the need to involve all the right to vote on a decision so crucial; it
is the defeat of democracy and institutions increasingly distant from
the people, perceived as foreign bodies which will impose increasingly
at odds with the needs of citizens. If
you look at the matter from this aspect the judgment can only change:
right in the cradle of democracy you want to say a new trend, able to
involve the citizens in a decision that will, in one way or another, a
direct impact on its life. Undoubtedly
it is a novelty item that is feared in Brussels for his power that can
become of emulation in other countries, up to question the mechanisms of
choice, not so much of the political classes, but rather of their
decisions. It
is difficult to predict whether this referendum will open to other
similar decisions in different countries, but it seems impossible not to
grasp the will of grassroots participation, repeatedly request without
being answered. Certainly
the risk of little decisions weighted and marked by populism is all
over, but this is also due to the perception of a European government
that has often imposed their own decisions, even when they, in addition
to appearing not adequate, have not been adequately explained. The
Greek crisis, then, from the political point of view has the merit of
having raised the issue of the government of the old continent, which
can not continue to be administered in too distant from the citizens,
who have suffered too penalizing choices, thus affecting the quality of their lives, to encourage financial institutions compromised with speculation. A
victory could not open the dissolution of Europe, showing that Brussels
does not rest on solid foundations so as you want to believe; a
first consequence could be a conflict between the countries of the
South with those of northern Europe and those who turn away from an
integration that is still far. If
the Greek crisis is resolved keeping Athens in the European
institutions current scenarios could change completely, with the only
result of weakening the states of the old continent.
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