mercoledì 1 luglio 2015

Turkey fears a Kurdish state on its borders

After the election defeat in Turkey, turkish President Erdogan, try to focus the country's attention once again on the Kurds, who had obtained an electoral success in the last election. President turkish not directly attacks the Kurds of Turkey, but rather, those who are fighting successfully against the militia of the Islamic state. The fear of Erdogan's what you can set up a Kurdish state entity directly on the border of Turkey, thanks to the removal of Syrian territory to the dictator of Damascus. The situation is confusing, but thanks to American aviation achievements of the Kurds on the ground may actually allow that fear of Erdogan from becoming reality. The perception of the party of the president is that the Kurds are considered much more dangerous of the same Islamic state, for the many conflicts that drag on for a long time. Kurdish aspirations are for an independent state, and this is true both for Turkey and for Syria, 'Iran and Iraq; precisely in the latter was the autonomy achieved, even at the regulatory level, she appeared as the situation immediately prior to the posting state in Baghdad. Although the US is formally opposed to the dissolution of the Iraqi state, are debtors of the Kurds, both for their help against Saddam, who against the caliphate, through their action on the ground. Washington, despite recent disagreements with Ankara is also an ally of Turkey, which remains the only Muslim country in the Atlantic Alliance and serves as a key strategic role. Fears of Erdogan can not therefore be underestimated by the White House, although in these phases of the Middle East conflict turkish intake was minimal, while some analysts say the turkish attitude towards the Islamic layer would be too soft. Erdogan, in the fight against Assad is deployed alongside the Sunni countries, for which removed an ally of Iran from the international scene is a paramount objective. The suspicion that the Islamic state has been fought in an unconvinced and there would be supported by tactical reasons, which fall, in fact, the elimination of Assad and that could include postponing the solution of the problem caliphate only at that point. In this tactic for Turkey, it may meet the problem of the Kurds, which Ankara would prefer to see defeated by the troops of the Islamic state. This scenario, until now, did not occur, even the Kurds have achieved substantial military victories, which have made it a reliable ally of the Americans, who might welcome a independent Kurdish enclave in the north of Syria, just in the border area with Turkey. Now Ankara would have focused on the containment of the Kurds with the possible creation of a band destined to become a buffer of 110 kilometers long and 33 wide. For Erdogan's presence on the border of Turkey to what it calls terrorists, it is a national security issue, even if you have not defined with the same emphasis the presence of the troops of Assad and those of the caliphate. The impression is that President turkish, with this stance, however, consistent with the behavior has always held against the Kurdish issue, wants indirectly legitimize the Kurdish party and its electoral capital and try to attract the attention of the Turkish possibility of new attacks on national territory by Kurds, galvanized by the military successes achieved. In reality this possibility at the time does not seem supported by any indication and the leader of the Kurdish party that had the good election result has repeatedly claimed to be an interpreter of the discontent that prevails in the country and that is far broader electorate of Kurdish origin. From the point of view of the military concerns exist on the political use that Erdogan wants to make the Turkish military; In fact, the operation of the creation of the buffer zone, in order to have the conditions of the legitimacy of international law, should be framed in a decision with the backing of the United Nations. If President turkish should insist on this intention could find strong internal resistance and international censure, which could help increase the international isolation in which Turkey has gradually created alone.

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