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lunedì 30 gennaio 2017

The convergences between the US and Saudi Arabia against Iran

The telephone conversation between the US President and the King of Saudi Arabia, seems to put the conditions for the restoration of relations between the two countries as they were prior to the agreement on the Iranian nuclear issue, which led to a deterioration of relations between the two states. Trump has never concealed that the agreement, signed not only by the US and Iran, also from China, United Kingdom, Russia, France and Germany, it has been very negative, because it would leave room for maneuver on the nuclear issue in Tehran and in election campaign promised to try to revoke it. This attitude is the foundation to restore the level of relations with Saudi Arabia, with whose government the agreement on this subject appears enormous. One of the purposes of the Agreement, in Obama's intentions, was to slow down the military advances in Iran's atomic to prevent nuclear proliferation in a sensitive area like the Middle East; however this was not the only purpose of the past's administration of the White House through the signing of the Treaty was to allow the Iranian out of its isolation was also economic, through the progressive reduction of sanctions, to also promote the growth of lay movements and thus modernizing the country's political scene. For the Sunni countries, and particularly the Persian Gulf monarchies, these moving intentions, the specific gravity of politics in the Islamic areas in favor of Tehran, contending the Shiites a greater importance than the Sunnis. In fact, with regard to the deterioration of relations between the US and Saudi Arabia, he has long counted on the role of Riyadh in the likely financing and support to terrorist groups of Sunni matrix and who are operating in Syria and Iraq. The Saudi strategy was to engage, in an indirect way, a war with Iran, which, in turn, has always supported the Shiite militias, for the religious supremacy to be converted into the political. It is no secret that Riyadh, along with the Ankara, tried in the past to destabilize Syria to exert influence that was to turn into control of the country, to hide it from Iranian influence. Foreign policy hesitant Obama has encouraged this state of affairs, enabling Russia to play a decisive role in the Syrian crisis in the country. If in some way Turkey has been able to take advantage of the situation in Syria, in relation to the Kurdish question, which is always the main concern of the government in Ankara, Saudi Arabia did not resolve the conflict with Iran, which, indeed, It has been increasing, and in addition, is the situation in Yemen increasingly difficult. This scenario puts Riyadh at a disadvantage in the Middle East scenario. The change of presidency in the United States, can be an opportunity to change the balance of the covenant and turn them back in favor of Saudi Arabia. Trump is that Saudi King Salman bin Abdelaziz, have a convergence of views on the need to limit Iran's activities in the Middle East region, which are judged extremely destabilizing. Now, to go forward along the path of cooperation with Saudi Arabia, the United States should, according to the vision of Trump, come into open conflict with Tehran, by deleting, before the nuclear deal and preventing so tight military activity against the Islamic state, which Obama has tapped against the caliphate. The new US president has surrounded himself with collaborators perfectly aligned on these positions, but they seem not to have understood the changes in the international scenario and seem even to the eighties of the last century still. Come into direct conflict with Iran means going back decades and add a further factor hostile to the Middle Eastern situation and let the diplomatic management of this new emergency even to Russia. Trump Perhaps, influenced by its business in Saudi, distorts US foreign policy to please the customers, as indeed he did by excluding citizens from Saudi ban on entry to the United States, but the ruthlessness of this maneuver is explained only by the ' huge amateurism and inexperience of the new president. If the United States abdicate, not only to its own military power role, but also to that of diplomatic power, will not be made certainly the interests of the country as the tycoon of the White House he says.

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