Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 30 gennaio 2017
The convergences between the US and Saudi Arabia against Iran
The
telephone conversation between the US President and the King of Saudi
Arabia, seems to put the conditions for the restoration of relations
between the two countries as they were prior to the agreement on the
Iranian nuclear issue, which led to a deterioration of relations between
the two states. Trump
has never concealed that the agreement, signed not only by the US and
Iran, also from China, United Kingdom, Russia, France and Germany, it
has been very negative, because it would leave room for maneuver on the
nuclear issue in Tehran and in election campaign promised to try to revoke it. This
attitude is the foundation to restore the level of relations with Saudi
Arabia, with whose government the agreement on this subject appears
enormous. One
of the purposes of the Agreement, in Obama's intentions, was to slow
down the military advances in Iran's atomic to prevent nuclear
proliferation in a sensitive area like the Middle East; however
this was not the only purpose of the past's administration of the White
House through the signing of the Treaty was to allow the Iranian out of
its isolation was also economic, through the progressive reduction of
sanctions, to also promote the growth of lay movements and thus modernizing the country's political scene. For
the Sunni countries, and particularly the Persian Gulf monarchies,
these moving intentions, the specific gravity of politics in the Islamic
areas in favor of Tehran, contending the Shiites a greater importance
than the Sunnis. In
fact, with regard to the deterioration of relations between the US and
Saudi Arabia, he has long counted on the role of Riyadh in the likely
financing and support to terrorist groups of Sunni matrix and who are
operating in Syria and Iraq. The
Saudi strategy was to engage, in an indirect way, a war with Iran,
which, in turn, has always supported the Shiite militias, for the
religious supremacy to be converted into the political. It
is no secret that Riyadh, along with the Ankara, tried in the past to
destabilize Syria to exert influence that was to turn into control of
the country, to hide it from Iranian influence. Foreign
policy hesitant Obama has encouraged this state of affairs, enabling
Russia to play a decisive role in the Syrian crisis in the country. If
in some way Turkey has been able to take advantage of the situation in
Syria, in relation to the Kurdish question, which is always the main
concern of the government in Ankara, Saudi Arabia did not resolve the
conflict with Iran, which, indeed, It has been increasing, and in addition, is the situation in Yemen increasingly difficult. This scenario puts Riyadh at a disadvantage in the Middle East scenario. The
change of presidency in the United States, can be an opportunity to
change the balance of the covenant and turn them back in favor of Saudi
Arabia. Trump
is that Saudi King Salman bin Abdelaziz, have a convergence of views on
the need to limit Iran's activities in the Middle East region, which
are judged extremely destabilizing. Now,
to go forward along the path of cooperation with Saudi Arabia, the
United States should, according to the vision of Trump, come into open
conflict with Tehran, by deleting, before the nuclear deal and
preventing so tight military activity against the Islamic state, which Obama has tapped against the caliphate. The
new US president has surrounded himself with collaborators perfectly
aligned on these positions, but they seem not to have understood the
changes in the international scenario and seem even to the eighties of
the last century still. Come
into direct conflict with Iran means going back decades and add a
further factor hostile to the Middle Eastern situation and let the
diplomatic management of this new emergency even to Russia. Trump
Perhaps, influenced by its business in Saudi, distorts US foreign
policy to please the customers, as indeed he did by excluding citizens
from Saudi ban on entry to the United States, but the ruthlessness of
this maneuver is explained only by the ' huge amateurism and inexperience of the new president. If
the United States abdicate, not only to its own military power role,
but also to that of diplomatic power, will not be made certainly the
interests of the country as the tycoon of the White House he says.
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