The Italian scenario after the election of the Secretary of the Democratic Party

After winning the election, in the primaries of what is known as a center-left party , the Democratic Party , Matteo Renzi, the Italian political situation is even more uncertain. Certainly the wave of enthusiasm for change, as is often successful on other occasions, seems to bode well for the future of a country that is going through six years of uninterrupted crisis , without any chance to glimpse out. The victory of the Democratic Party's electoral competition is given great emphasis by the Italian media , but it is not a public official charge , but a charge of the party, which may indirectly affect the decisions of the executive. Meanwhile, it is necessary to see how it gained this victory within the party officials was not as clear as in the popular consultation is also open to non-members , this means that there is a gap between the system and its sympathizers , but this already knew and was one of the strong arguments of Renzi. More important , however, is just the victory, achieved with great detachment, leaving the votes of supporters, where , presumably , also voted one of another political faith , so desperate , considering Renzi 's last chance for a political class , as a whole , literally inadequate. This fact, if established, may mean , as well as an endowment in the event of early elections , even atavistic overcome differences between left and right , so that immobilized the country. All right then ? Not really, the Italian political scene continues, even with this consultation , particularly fragmented , a situation not so favorable groped for the revival of the country. In the extreme parts , the right and the left , there are a myriad of factions that struggle to get to 4% as a whole and in any case remain divided on issues and unnecessary background , this is a common maximalism , which will bring the two extreme wings outside parliament , if not we will study electoral rules to their rescue . However, even in historical importance of these movements, their marginality also leads to a substantial irrelevance in the decision-making landscape . On this road you are starting sadly what is known as Centro, divided into a liberal tendency , led by Mario Monti, and one that refers to the Catholic faith , although with the papacy of Pope Francis does not seem to find too many supports. These two teams together, with no guarantee of return to meet , they can aspire to about 4.5% , and in any case too small to affect both currencies are destined to disappear. The Democratic Party, the heir of the strongest Communist Party of the West, but profoundly transformed by the alliance with the progressive side of Catholicism , has already said in part , but it should be pointed out again , that behind the election of Renzi, there are deep divisions that do not arise merely because the electoral system is under construction and is expected to be to address the majority , no escape for those who hoped for some wiggle proportional . This aspect , to which must be added a good self-harm of past leaders , they are still present within the party, however, is a little glue guarantee , passed the initial euphoria for Renzi comes to dealing with a system that is truly hostile and who can escape the control of the new secretary. It remains to frame the center-right : here the scenario is even more apocalyptic : the formation of the fledgling New center-right , which is detached from the founding father of Silvio Berlusconi, left the parliament following a conviction, is a set of politicians who say they have committed an act of responsibility , to enable the nation to have a government that can address the most urgent issues , along with the center-left , and then tackle , approximately in 2015 , at the end of the European Semester , new elections on opposing camps . It is a laudable attempt , were it not that the incumbent government is distinguishing for an agonizing immobility , and polls indicate a hemorrhage of acclaim for this training, that over all , no longer enjoys the financial support of Berlusconi and the media . For now, the prediction of voting is around 5% , with a downward trend . Forza Italy, risen from the ashes of the Freedom Party , it seems, instead , to be able to aggregate consensus, especially by tapping into the many who have recently defected to the polls, thanks to the charismatic appeal of Silvio Berlusconi, even if they no longer eligible. The new Forza Italy was proclaimed as the formation of rupture , trusting in the poor memory of the voters in their twenties technically the worst of government of the Italian Republic , but in a moment of confusion of this kind, this project can also succeed. Currently, the surveys show the movement of Berlusconi substantially balanced with the Democratic Party . Outside of the traditional parties is located, by definition, the Five Star Movement , it is a populist movement and anti- system , which is the general opposition to the political and Europe , its central themes . If the reasons for departure there are undoubtedly elements of truth , the fault is in the proposals for solutions , often impassable and smoky , also the political class of this movement is certainly inexperienced and unprepared to deal with the difficult challenges of the country, in spite of these negative aspects of the Movement five Stars offers an estimate of the at least 20% of an electorate composed of people rightly frustrated with a political system unable to give concrete answers to the citizens. This overall picture does not leave much hope for a recovery of the country , precisely because of extreme fragmentation that does not allow the necessary cohesion , even just a few points in common , to give a shock to the nation. Moreover, the action of the government in power has not been able to make a change , enjoying success abroad, but encountering less and less satisfaction in Italy . What worries most is the difficult social and economic situation , with unemployment on the rise, especially in the younger age groups , a chronic lack of credit , which suffocates businesses, despite the aid to banks, converted into public debt rather than be placed into the production circuit . The discontent is vying for control of the party organizations and trade unions , and the number of spontaneous episodes where events are organized autonomous . This aspect of social tension going on in the country should not be underestimated , as the anger built up by the sectors increasingly excluded from the production process now seems closer to coincide with movements organized militarily . But Italy alone , can hardly , without a change of course in Europe, who knows how to loosen the tight budgetary constraints imposed by Brussels and experienced by disadvantaged as a genuine injustice , fate Italian is very uncertain , and not it is said that the infection can not spread across the continent , which already has similar signs of discontent.