Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 28 febbraio 2014
The Crimea at the center of the Ukrainian question
The evolution of events in Crimea brings the voltage to rise in a concrete way . According to the interior minister of Ukraine, Russian soldiers would surround the airport of Sevastopol , home of the Russian fleet , but the civilian infrastructure would not have ceased operation . According to some Russian media paratroopers would have the function of patrolling the outside of the airport , with no surround . Such a situation could foreshadow the military invasion of a foreign country , Russia, to the detriment of Ukraine. The reasons for the Russians to carry out such an act are to protect the majority of the population of ethnic Russians and, above all , the main naval base in Moscow. However, a note of the Russian Navy denied a share of the military in the airport area , but confirmed the increase in anti-terrorism measures for the protection of members of the military fleet and their families, who may be the subject of anti- Russian sentiment that is through Ukraine these days. The fact remains that flaunt military measures on the part of a foreign state on the soil of another state , although present on that territory under international agreements , it appears as a very reckless maneuver , especially if framed in a very unstable situation , where the opposition between Ukrainians and Russians will play a key role. Moscow did not choose the way of the step profile intentionally , because now lost Ukraine, which seems to have chosen the approach to Europe, not resigned to losing , at least , the strategic area of the Crimea , which is considered an appendage of the Russian soil . According to the scheme of Putin is necessary to flex its muscles , especially in your own home , where you do not have to suffer interference . The problem is that the Crimea, while still enjoying a great deal of autonomy is part of the Ukrainian nation , even if the majority feels Russian . On this contrast can be generated particularly dangerous misunderstandings . If the intentions of Kiev are not to lose the Crimea and , perhaps, reduce the autonomy in the future , would be promptly denied as not to further aggravate the situation . The scenario is thus very complicated : Russia may have to answer in front of the international invasion of a foreign state , causing an escalation whose outcomes are not predictable , especially after the claims of NATO in favor of the non- divisibility of the Ukrainian territory. The situation seems a bad copy of the Cold War , but placed in a different world altogether , where the balance of terror does not exist to ensure peace , albeit based on nuclear weapons. In a sense, we have reverted to a less secure situation , where the attitude of Russia, because lapsed from his role as superpower , framed within the rigid framework of bilateral , forced her to play a role less static to gain international locations and to maintain live nationalist sentiment inside. In short, the current situation calls for , from all sides , greater diplomatic skills , that events have shown rather lacking . The Ukrainian problem has been mismanaged from the start from the same Ukrainians who have not been able to find a synthesis that avoids the exaltation of differences in location , then there was the awkward action of the EU , which is not able to manage in a clear instances of a possible transition from Kiev to Brussels about these hesitations it is inserted Russia, which has forced the hand on the economic side , and finally the United States came with the delicacy of an elephant inside a glassware , dispensing advice and solutions invading the field of regard of others. If an election for Ukraine will be able to tell what the real intentions of the people, in order to establish a secure address and shared , so should be allowed to Crimea. Keeping within the boundaries of Ukrainians forcefully an area that has characteristics such as to bring it closer to Russia more , threatens to turn it into an opportunity to encounter highly destabilizing for the world balance , with reflections on issues that go far beyond the contingent matter . To cool the situation would also be appropriate to a UN intervention in order to assume an official position in order to avoid a new front where it could develop in a wave of violence. The Crimea thus assumes a central position at this time, in the international scene : from there you can pacify the region or, conversely, to aggravate the situation , leading the reflection on the whole diplomatic relations.
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