Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 12 giugno 2014
The radical Sunni reshape the Middle East
The advance of radical Sunnis in Iraq and Syria in the east to reshape the Middle East and marks the failure of American foreign policy in the region. For the balance of world power is a story that alters an already volatile situation raises the question of the Middle East and central to the problems of international relations. The unification of the territories with a strong presence generates the dreaded Sunni caliphate, intended, likely to become a state where Sharia law should exist and thus set an example for all Islamic extremists; not to overlook the links with the world of fundamentalist terrorism, which could find a suitable culture medium to its expansion, to form the new recruits. The hypothesis is alarming and brings into play the permanence of Assad as a key figure to act as a barrier to the phenomenon. The Syrian side, in fact, from which you can easily get to hit Israel, must not fall prey to the Islamist fighters and only Assad, right now can ensure this option. Despite all the drawbacks of the Damascus case it becomes imperative for Washington to Tel Aviv in order to avoid trespassing. The union territories of Iraq, also puts an end unit in Baghdad, with the Kurds increasingly autonomous and decided to break away and the growth irremediably separate from the Sunni. Bush's policy in the region emerges in all its failure, but also Obama's decision to abandon the country has quite a few folk who have taken responsibility for the events; also the decision of the President of the United States not to intervene in Syria, and even to make enough pressure for a UN decision, misguided by the size of which was treated with the set of problems, characterized by the absence of a vision the total of the elements involved and possible developments, which have then invested a wider territory. The first emergency to deal with is the escape of more than half a million people from areas came under the control of fundamentalists. Now it will be necessary to see what the moves of traditional allies Moscow and Tehran Assad, who may accuse the West where he led the aversion to Damascus. Certainly the situation is in flux and no hypothesis is to be discarded, but surely no representative of the world, except perhaps those of the Arab countries of the Gulf, can stand by and watch these developments. One thing that will be made is the responsibility of those who allowed this escalation with material and financial aid. Point the finger at the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf is almost too easy: the main interest, at one point, was to bring down Assad to remove an ally of Tehran and then to weaken Iran; However, even the Gulf countries agreed to form a government entity of this kind, close to the borders of the Arab countries and able to influence the population. The feeling is that the situation is out of hand and that it is now too late to reverse, that there might be already. Then there is the delicate situation of Turkish diplomats kidnapped, do not be surprised if they did Erdogan appealed to the NATO treaty, considering the kidnapping as an attack on the country turkish and therefore might directly involve the North Atlantic Alliance. One last consideration: the Arab Spring and the export of democracy, as enshrined theorem in support of the U.S. invasion in Iraq have obtained the opposite results of those desired; what is meant is that the world balance was further ensured by the dictators, that people do not mature not able to govern themselves without resorting to religion as a substitute for the deposed despot. SI is a bitter reflection but, except for a few cases, it is increasingly supported by the development of events.
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