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mercoledì 27 maggio 2015

Because Saudi Arabia is fighting so hard for the Yemeni rebels

The question Yemeni appears far from resolution. New bombings, carried out by air and sea military coalition of Sunni countries led by Saudi Arabia, which hit a naval base at the mouth of the Gulf of Aden, occupied by Huthi rebels, indicate that tension remains high and the resistance of the formations rebels is still far from being won. The very fact that the military campaign is under way for over two months and even Saudi Arabia is due to return to take military action, after he had announced the suspension of the bombing, indicates a situation difficult to solve. The presentation of Huthi rebels, as bands of desperate people, which had been made at the beginning of the conflict, no longer seems to hold: the ability of the rebels are out of the question, but it is from a political perspective that the scenario requires a new analysis. While there is an element of religious opposition, as to frame between the majority Sunni Yemeni matrix, with the Shia, they belong to the Huthi, this aspect is not enough to explain a comparison that has a relevance of a political nature. The goal of the Saudis to bring to power the deposed president and eliminate any possibility that Iran wants to expand its influence on a country bordering Riyadh and highly strategic from the geographical point of view, because it allows the access control Red Sea and then to the Suez Canal. Undoubtedly the Iranian sympathies go to all the Shiite rebels, but historically the Huthi movement has a local character, alien to the international balances. The Huthi seek to gain their own autonomy within an environment strongly affected by the influence Saudi and where discrimination against minorities is a constant that can trigger social unrest. But the most important aspect is that a large part of the regular Yemeni has sided with the rebels, while remaining faithful to the former president of the country. This factor is taking the crisis in Yemen made more of a domestic political than religious, capable of crossing even the relevant comparison between Shiites and Sunnis. Iran, repeatedly accused the Saudis, he has denied to have helped, both economically, militarily the rebels; if it corresponded to the truth, the operation conducted in Yemen by Sunni states should not be framed in an operation to prevent the expansion of Iranian influence, but only as a kind of international police action intended to maintain control over the country Saudi . Essentially Riyadh would use the justifications for maintaining geopolitical balance, which does not seem to exist, to resolve an issue of domestic politics of a neighboring country. In reality what they fear Saudi Arabia is the spread of the contagion of rebellion within its territory. In the past in the Gulf monarchy more important, the Shia minorities have claimed more rights in the workplace and have expressed at the time of the Arab spring. The problem was, once again returned to a religious confrontation, while the Shiites rebelling not against the Sunnis, but because it discriminated against in rights. At that time it was a tactic used mixed, composed of repression and concessions, especially wage, but Saudi society has never fully pacified, although the episodes of rebellion were kept hidden from the powerful censorship. Saudi Arabia is one of the states most illiberal of the world, where there is, also legally, the fundamentalist version of Islam and its ruling class has every interest has suffocate any form of opposition to the line of the ruling house, though This is outside the borders of the state. Economic power, political and religious Riyadh in the region makes it, without doubt, the major regional power, capable of having on his side states that have similar characteristics and are intended to defend the status quo. For this variable Huthi it can not be admitted at a distance so short.

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