Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 27 maggio 2015
Because Saudi Arabia is fighting so hard for the Yemeni rebels
The question Yemeni appears far from resolution. New
bombings, carried out by air and sea military coalition of Sunni
countries led by Saudi Arabia, which hit a naval base at the mouth of
the Gulf of Aden, occupied by Huthi rebels, indicate that tension
remains high and the resistance of the formations rebels is still far from being won. The
very fact that the military campaign is under way for over two months
and even Saudi Arabia is due to return to take military action, after he
had announced the suspension of the bombing, indicates a situation
difficult to solve. The
presentation of Huthi rebels, as bands of desperate people, which had
been made at the beginning of the conflict, no longer seems to hold: the
ability of the rebels are out of the question, but it is from a
political perspective that the scenario requires a new analysis. While
there is an element of religious opposition, as to frame between the
majority Sunni Yemeni matrix, with the Shia, they belong to the Huthi,
this aspect is not enough to explain a comparison that has a relevance
of a political nature. The
goal of the Saudis to bring to power the deposed president and
eliminate any possibility that Iran wants to expand its influence on a
country bordering Riyadh and highly strategic from the geographical
point of view, because it allows the access control Red Sea and then to the Suez Canal. Undoubtedly
the Iranian sympathies go to all the Shiite rebels, but historically
the Huthi movement has a local character, alien to the international
balances. The
Huthi seek to gain their own autonomy within an environment strongly
affected by the influence Saudi and where discrimination against
minorities is a constant that can trigger social unrest. But
the most important aspect is that a large part of the regular Yemeni
has sided with the rebels, while remaining faithful to the former
president of the country. This
factor is taking the crisis in Yemen made more of a domestic political
than religious, capable of crossing even the relevant comparison between
Shiites and Sunnis. Iran, repeatedly accused the Saudis, he has denied to have helped, both economically, militarily the rebels; if
it corresponded to the truth, the operation conducted in Yemen by Sunni
states should not be framed in an operation to prevent the expansion of
Iranian influence, but only as a kind of international police action
intended to maintain control over the country Saudi . Essentially
Riyadh would use the justifications for maintaining geopolitical
balance, which does not seem to exist, to resolve an issue of domestic
politics of a neighboring country. In reality what they fear Saudi Arabia is the spread of the contagion of rebellion within its territory. In
the past in the Gulf monarchy more important, the Shia minorities have
claimed more rights in the workplace and have expressed at the time of
the Arab spring. The
problem was, once again returned to a religious confrontation, while
the Shiites rebelling not against the Sunnis, but because it
discriminated against in rights. At
that time it was a tactic used mixed, composed of repression and
concessions, especially wage, but Saudi society has never fully
pacified, although the episodes of rebellion were kept hidden from the
powerful censorship. Saudi
Arabia is one of the states most illiberal of the world, where there
is, also legally, the fundamentalist version of Islam and its ruling
class has every interest has suffocate any form of opposition to the
line of the ruling house, though This is outside the borders of the state. Economic
power, political and religious Riyadh in the region makes it, without
doubt, the major regional power, capable of having on his side states
that have similar characteristics and are intended to defend the status
quo. For this variable Huthi it can not be admitted at a distance so short.
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