Politica Internazionale

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lunedì 5 ottobre 2015

Israel wants to provoke a third intifada?

The items that classify as third intifada demonstrations, sometimes violent, that are taking place in the Palestinian territories occupied by Israel, show that the situation is again falling to dangerous developments. Once again the prime minister in Tel Aviv said he was willing to peace talks with the Palestinians, but these intentions do not seem to believe no one, not even the old allies of Israel: the United States. The statement by the head of the Israeli government is framed in the usual tactic of good intentions never supported by the facts, which, for many Palestinian circles, are interpreted as a real provocation. Moreover, to strengthen the climate of police have been several initiatives designed to stifle any revolt, even and especially the peaceful type, to nip any possible support for the Palestinian cause on the part of international public opinion and provoke the reaction of the groups or individuals more exaggerated to justify harsh repression, that hit, so increasing the freedom of movement of persons and their property, such as houses that were destroyed for reprisals absurd, so as to promote, then the further expansion of settlements. The climate created by the Israeli government, formed by members of the nationalist right, which does not want to recognize the right of Palestinians to form their own state and that aims to increase their territories for the sovereignty of Tel Aviv, looks set to spawn a provocation, that would allow a repression justified; if this is true, it understands the real intentions of Israel are the ones to go in the opposite direction to peace. The Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas has always been opposed to violence and struggles to keep a low profile: a violent reaction of the Palestinians would be a waste of his authority that could diminish the prestige granted to him by the international public. This could be part of a larger plan for Israel, to reduce international pressure that forced him to undergo the diplomatic world, with a growing isolation. The central question is why Israel has accelerated at this time in the provocation to the Palestinians? The move does not seem acceptable to Washington, which, with the Obama administration has repeatedly committed to reaching a diplomatic solution to the problem between Israelis and Palestinians. Strong momentum to accelerate the repressive policy of Tel Aviv seems to be rather direct engagement taken in the Syrian conflict by the Russians, which could favor the permanence in power of Assad and retreat military, with consequent reduction of the political group Islamic State . It is no secret that Israel has never judged positively the Arab spring, which could threaten the security of the Israeli state, attitude confirmed by close ties with the Egyptian military dictatorship, which has crushed the Muslim Brotherhood, who mingled so too important policy with an almost religious extremist. If Assad officially there were no reports of hostility, actually unofficially the two countries had found a peaceful coexistence and respectful of their political systems. Even with Russia, despite the increasingly close comparison between Moscow and Washington, Israel has always had friendly relations and cooperation and the presence of the armed forces of the Kremlin across borders is certainly a positive view and identified as element stabilization of the crisis. For Israel, it is important that the country does not fall into the hands Syrian Sunni, also moderate, which could give support, as well as political, even material, to the Palestinian cause. So with the West pledged to frame the development of counter-caliphate, Tel Aviv develops its plan to justify its territorial expansion in defiance to every political expediency, trying to increase the amount of land taken away to be presented as if the status quo ' objective of the expansion will be achieved.

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