Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 13 ottobre 2015
The unreliable allies of the US in the Middle East issue
Around
the world balance, which are being developed, especially in the Middle
East, more and more the focus of world, the United States must make
appropriate reflections to avoid being caught up in an evolutionary
process that goes in the negative direction of the situation, which It can compromise the international role. The first question is the relationship and the degree of reliability of the allies in the region. The
turkish case is emblematic: the way of governing Erdogan is getting
closer to an illiberal regime, gradually depriving the country of civil
rights and interprets the reasons for the fight against terrorism for
its purposes. According
to the President of Turkey, which is intended to establish a
presidential republic where he must hold the post, the main factor of
aggregation against the political opposition is the struggle against the
attempts of the Kurdish people to empower themselves, at least in a
federal form still within the Kurdish state. The
birth of a moderate party, not just matrix Kurdish, but open to the
needs of a large part of their social Turkish origin, who appears
concerned about the authoritarian turn taken by Erdogan. This
factor is likely to have caused the attacks in which young peaceful
demonstrators were victim already on two occasions and has coincided
with the military offensive carried out by Ankara against Kurdish
fighters stations struggling with the Islamic state, domestic policy and
that Foreign
were so mixed becoming a dangerous factor that can not ensure the most
real convenience of a particularly close alliance between Washington and
Ankara. The
rest of the EU when Turkey did not admit to it, he examined an already
serious situation on civil rights, which at the moment is even worse. Washington
publicly held and is keeping a low profile, that does not make clear to
world public opinion what are the real intentions with Turkey; the same thing can be said of the relationships held with Saudi Arabia and Israel. The
Saudi kingdom, which is going through a precarious balance in their
institutions, is characterized by a fierce application of a vision of
Islamic law, through the complete denial of rights with methods
particularly violent: some Saudis are the leading producer of oil and the
regulatory role of the world market of crude oil covering, often at the
suggestion of the United States, authorizes the behavior internally,
not criticized by the US, but the impropriety of such an ally is
increasingly clear, if one considers that the Saudis, along the
Turks, were led to the formation of the Caliphate, which say they are
fighting, but only with window-dressing, allowing, then practically the
permanence of the Islamic state on the occupied territories. The
third is uncomfortable ally Israel, against which the White House has
failed to impose the line of the two states that could afford to solve
the issue with the Palestinians. The
government of Tel Aviv, on the contrary, seems to try to take advantage
of the situation of absolute mess of the region, to steal the
Palestinian territories, oblivious to open an additional front in the
most problematic of the planet. While
the US is allied with these countries, the fragility of the link brings
up the only country the US, just in managing the regional crisis in
general, and of the Syrian and the fight against Islamic state in
particular. The
decisiveness of Russia, put in big trouble the American strategies,
which can count on the help of the only sincere Iraqi Kurds, for other
less well placed because of the treatment that the United States has
allowed the Turks against the Kurds in Turkey and those Syrian. With
regard to the Islamic state is becoming increasingly obvious, as its
existence is instrumental to many interests, which make the fight, at
least for now, only a goal of the Americans, in the general framework of
the fight against terrorism and the Kurds, for their survival . The
presence of the caliphate allows raids Turks against the Kurds, the
struggle of the Saudis and Turks themselves against Assad, but also the
opposite, that justifies the presence of Assad as an actor in the
containment of the Islamic state, and therefore the role of Russia and
Iran alongside Damascus, also in the suppression of secular formations that oppose the Syrian dictator. Right
now Washington appears to be losing not only on the chessboard Syrian,
but generally throughout the Middle East scenario, with Iraqis, where
Shiites are in government, that they would be getting dangerously close
to the positions of Moscow and Tehran in order to eradicate the presence
the caliphate from their territory. The
feeling of defeat that lingers on the foreign policy of the United
States in the region, certainly depends on bad choices by the Obama
administration and the subsequent mishandling of the matter, because it
was too uncertain, but, at this stage, it is more crucial lack of tune
with the historical allies in the region, too busy in personal goals, often at odds with those of Washington. The
US, in addition to bear on their side were increasingly governed in a
despotic, factor deep criticism coming from Western allies, no longer
with these countries common criteria on which to build a general tactics
and this implies an objective difficulty on the part of the House White to handle the Middle East crisis. If
Washington wants to arrive at a conclusion not too disappointing,
perhaps it is better to begin to implement a more pragmatic and less
rigid towards Moscow, certainly with all due caution, rather than
persist in attitudes of principle and remain too tied to partners from
whom it It will take that limited benefits. This
should serve in the future, given that the boundaries and the reasons
that determine alliances, especially with Muslim countries, are
increasingly uncertain and therefore does not ensure the desired
political development.
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