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martedì 22 marzo 2016

Europe is not prepared to Islamic attacks

One can not link the actions against the Belgian police who stopped the bomber in Paris with the attacks at Brussels airport and take finally realizes that the heart of Europe there are reserve troops of Islamist terrorism, which are recognized by the local population consists of the children of immigrants, the second or third generations, who are not acclimatized in European culture and have become easily recruited by extremist groups. This aspect has been extensively analyzed and you know the limits of integration in a highly compromised by the economic crisis culture, what their fathers have not lived, however, at this time, it does not seem to be room for sociological analysis, certainly important, but which must take second place to be able to deal with the emergency. You must also consider that the terrorist phenomenon in specific parts of Europe is the combined result of the lack of integration, with the same underestimation of the terrorist phenomenon, which has not been addressed with adequate preparation both from a preventive point of view, that is, with sufficient intelligence activities, both from the military, with constant monitoring of the internal territory. Moreover, the best evidence of this lack of preparation is the time taken to capture a dangerous terrorist, the author of the attacks in Paris, who had never moved from the Belgian capital. The surprise is increased when you consider that we are talking about not only the capital of Belgium, also of the European Union, ie the administrative and bureaucratic heart of a supranational entity that should be a world power. The public policy-makers can not even appeal the excuse of improvised terrorists, autonomous cells that can be triggered by sun, here we are facing a more complex and structured organization, able to exploit in a complete way the great, if not total, support of the population; and this is the most destabilizing and worrying factor for European countries: until now, Islamic terrorism was seen as a threat to its remote location in far countries, partly because the attacks carried out in Europe seemed accrued divorced contexts and to outside the social fabric, born, ie, in localized parts of the territory. With Brussels attacks this concept spreads, it comes from the suburbs to the city center, although there are considerable similarities between the hardships of the inhabitants of these neighborhoods. Print, taken by the excitement of the capture of the terrorist in the run for some time has not focused enough on the fact that the residents of the neighborhood where the author of the attack in Paris was captured, they protected the flight and have sided against the police, until the beginning of his speech. This signal is much stronger that the rebellion of the Parisian suburbs, although born of common motives, because it means that some European citizens are in direct conflict with what is, or should be, their country and are willing to support the Islamic State also as a means of combating the sovereign state of which they are nationals. It can not be, do not assume, given the speed of the response to the arrest of the aggressor, that the authors of the Brussels attacks were not already prepared for this kind of action and that they were already close by who knows how long, perhaps forever . But the purpose of these attacks is only apparently the response to terrorist capture, you actually want to exacerbate the situation with regard to the Muslims, perhaps causing a wave of repression as to generate an increasingly tough competition and, at the same time, increase the difficulties of refugee management between European countries. On the first point the management of the current scenario appears very difficult, because a harsh response will be inevitable, and because even the Islamists disagree with the terrorist policy will not be enough to distance themselves from extremism so soft as they have done until now, except for a few rare exceptions. Presumably it will be called for a greater commitment, which, if not insured, can produce negative effects of additional management challenges. That is, there is the real possibility of a social estrangement between Muslims and other people, not only in Belgium but throughout Europe. This scenario may have been rehearsed by the Islamic state, which has suffered major military setbacks in Iraq and Syria, to move the conflict to be conducted with pure terrorist methods, throughout the West, beginning with the European continent. The scenario is possible because it would exploit the weaknesses of the European defense system, both police and military, which has its weak point in the absence of a single EU army, as is absent a single police force and coordination between the various bodies of public security appears insufficient. Once again the lack of a political union is an extreme weakness factor for the European Union and there seems no longer to linger over.

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