Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 22 marzo 2016
Europe is not prepared to Islamic attacks
One
can not link the actions against the Belgian police who stopped the
bomber in Paris with the attacks at Brussels airport and take finally
realizes that the heart of Europe there are reserve troops of Islamist
terrorism, which are recognized by the local
population consists of the children of immigrants, the second or third
generations, who are not acclimatized in European culture and have
become easily recruited by extremist groups. This
aspect has been extensively analyzed and you know the limits of
integration in a highly compromised by the economic crisis culture, what
their fathers have not lived, however, at this time, it does not seem
to be room for sociological analysis, certainly important, but which must take second place to be able to deal with the emergency. You
must also consider that the terrorist phenomenon in specific parts of
Europe is the combined result of the lack of integration, with the same
underestimation of the terrorist phenomenon, which has not been
addressed with adequate preparation both from a preventive point of
view, that is, with sufficient intelligence activities, both from the military, with constant monitoring of the internal territory. Moreover,
the best evidence of this lack of preparation is the time taken to
capture a dangerous terrorist, the author of the attacks in Paris, who
had never moved from the Belgian capital. The
surprise is increased when you consider that we are talking about not
only the capital of Belgium, also of the European Union, ie the
administrative and bureaucratic heart of a supranational entity that
should be a world power. The
public policy-makers can not even appeal the excuse of improvised
terrorists, autonomous cells that can be triggered by sun, here we are
facing a more complex and structured organization, able to exploit in a
complete way the great, if not total, support of the population; and
this is the most destabilizing and worrying factor for European
countries: until now, Islamic terrorism was seen as a threat to its
remote location in far countries, partly because the attacks carried out
in Europe seemed accrued divorced contexts and to outside the social fabric, born, ie, in localized parts of the territory. With
Brussels attacks this concept spreads, it comes from the suburbs to the
city center, although there are considerable similarities between the
hardships of the inhabitants of these neighborhoods. Print,
taken by the excitement of the capture of the terrorist in the run for
some time has not focused enough on the fact that the residents of the
neighborhood where the author of the attack in Paris was captured, they
protected the flight and have sided against the police, until the beginning of his speech. This
signal is much stronger that the rebellion of the Parisian suburbs,
although born of common motives, because it means that some European
citizens are in direct conflict with what is, or should be, their
country and are willing to support the Islamic State also as a means of combating the sovereign state of which they are nationals. It
can not be, do not assume, given the speed of the response to the
arrest of the aggressor, that the authors of the Brussels attacks were
not already prepared for this kind of action and that they were already
close by who knows how long, perhaps forever . But
the purpose of these attacks is only apparently the response to
terrorist capture, you actually want to exacerbate the situation with
regard to the Muslims, perhaps causing a wave of repression as to
generate an increasingly tough competition and, at the same time,
increase the difficulties of refugee management between European countries. On
the first point the management of the current scenario appears very
difficult, because a harsh response will be inevitable, and because even
the Islamists disagree with the terrorist policy will not be enough to
distance themselves from extremism so soft as they have done until now,
except for a few rare exceptions. Presumably
it will be called for a greater commitment, which, if not insured, can
produce negative effects of additional management challenges. That
is, there is the real possibility of a social estrangement between
Muslims and other people, not only in Belgium but throughout Europe. This
scenario may have been rehearsed by the Islamic state, which has
suffered major military setbacks in Iraq and Syria, to move the conflict
to be conducted with pure terrorist methods, throughout the West,
beginning with the European continent. The
scenario is possible because it would exploit the weaknesses of the
European defense system, both police and military, which has its weak
point in the absence of a single EU army, as is absent a single police
force and coordination between the various bodies of public security appears insufficient. Once
again the lack of a political union is an extreme weakness factor for
the European Union and there seems no longer to linger over.
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