Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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venerdì 14 ottobre 2016
Scotland wants a new referendum for independence
One
of the expected effects of the British referendum result to get out of
Europe, was the disintegration of the United Kingdom, by virtue of the
vote clearly against Scotland, Northern Ireland and Gibraltar. The
first to react was precisely Scotland, who came from another
referendum, that for independence, rejected by Scottish citizens. The
government of Edinburgh, which is largely independent, has always
strongly opposed by the exit, even bringing their case in Brussels. For Scotland it is important to stay in Europe to continue to receive EU contributions and d access to its free market. The
opposition, not too sharp, manifested by the Scots voters independence
of Scotland was bound to stay in the European Union and, indeed, one of
the reasons which led many voters to express an opinion contrary,
consisted precisely in doubtful Brussels power accommodate inside a country breakaway, without the approval of the state from which it was removed. Cameron's government, in fact, had warned that he would never give its approval to an input of Scotland in the European Union; Also
there was the open opposition of Spain, who saw a similarity between
Scotland and Catalonia, because of the independence turmoil of
Barcelona. The goal of Madrid was to prevent a precedent that would allow Catalonia to strengthen its separatist intentions. The
outcome of the British referendum has undoubtedly changed the
conditions for a stay of Scotland within the UK, and has revived the
separatist issues, no longer seen in a view-only secession from London,
as a concrete way to power continue to remain within the European Union. Data
on the Scottish region infusion-related to the referendum for the exit
from Europe have seen a contrary result by more than 60% of voters. It understands how the arguments of pro-independence and pro-Europeans are now virtually identical. This new request from Edinburgh, cares much London, who sees materialize the risk of a UK crushing. In
fact, the British government position follows this concern, which
became reality with the refusal to authorize another referendum on
Scottish independence. On
the other hand the results against the exit from Europe were 55% in
Northern Ireland and as much as 96% in Gibraltar, and a license to a new
referendum for Scotland could pave the way for the unification of
Ireland Northern Ireland and with a different fate for Gibraltar. However,
there are data that could lead to a negative result a new referendum on
Scottish independence, in fact, according to the latest polls only 37%
of Scots would welcome further consultation, as against 50% opposition. however,
it must specify, that the figure of opposites could be about to fall as
the effects of an early exit from Europe by the United Kingdom, as
advocated by Brussels. In
fact, despite the tough proposals by the British government, the true
intentions of London are to seek an agreement for a longer output, in
order to reorganize its economy, without more aid from Europe and the
insured benefits. This
latter sees the favorable Scotland, an approach that allows to expand
over time the removal of Brussels, is to mitigate the effects of the
Scottish economy, already suffering from the decline in revenue from the
sale of crude oil, it is better to arrange a new referendum. In
any case the worst scenario lies ahead for the UK, which has already
begun to experience what it is the output from Europe, in relation to
the listing of the pound, which is close to parity with the euro. At
this stage benefit UK businesses, which can increase their exports, but
always within a framework of free market with European countries, these
facilities also removed a weak pound can ensure the same conditions. If,
then, should occur secessions, which potentially can happen, the
psychological effect on the country will only develop into an economic
downturn, with several companies, which have already developed
alternative strategies to the presence in England. If
this scenario will become real is not unreasonable to expect an English
afterthought, but this time Europe will no longer grant the conditions
of favor which had assured to London before the outcome of the
referendum.
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