Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
Cerca nel blog
giovedì 15 giugno 2017
Egypt looks for a greater dimension in the Sunni world
The
sale of the small Egyptian islands in the Red Sea to Saudi Arabia must
be framed in the offensive that the Saudi monarchies have undertaken
against Qatar and in the more general context of the opposition between
Sunni and Shi'ite. The
decision to donate the small uninhabited islands, but with great
strategic importance to the Red Sea, by Cairo, which had been in control
since 1906, has raised heavy controversies and conflicts in the
Egyptian country and, from a legal point of view, The constitutional court of the country had given the opposite opinion, inverted, but by a lower court. Egyptian
President Al Sisi has once again demonstrated the degree of respect for
the institutions of the country and how a dictatorship is in force. From
the point of view of international politics, Egypt has surrendered the
islands in the context of the alliance with the Saudi monarchies, in
exchange for wealthy aid, aimed at lifting a crisis economy, but above
all to more firmly sanction the alliance Politics
with the Saudi monarchies: a counterattack created by the Sunni
blockade against Iran, whose goal is to reduce Tehran's political
weight. The
presence at Trump's White House has favored this new scenario, which,
however, is based on a much less solid basis than it does. Qatari's
accusations of financing terrorism come from a number of countries
strongly suspected of having contributed to the development of terrorism
in the Middle East with the intent of reaching influence on Syria and
Iraq . In
this scenario, Qatar's position has not been different from the states
that have declared the current diplomatic ostracism, but the issue seems
to be to counter a member within the Saudi area, which is looking for a
more autonomous dimension Compared to other Sunni monarchies; Trade
ties with Iran and support for the Muslim Brotherhood are an objective
element of disruption to the integrity of the Sunni front. In
this context, the insertion of Egypt, even with the donation of the
islands to Saudi Arabia, represents for Cairo the goal of a new
dimension within the regional area and the Sunni block. If
this is to happen at the expense of Qatar, it is soon to be said,
because Qatar, despite the allegations, is still strategic to the United
States. What
is to be noted is that from the Arabian peninsula the Sunni block
extends to the Egyptian country with greater cohesion, with the clear
intent of surrounding the area of influence that Tehran holds on
Syria. In this, the Saudi monarchies have an important, albeit unofficial, ally in Israel, which has common aversion to Iran. On
the Iraqi side, however, the issue is more complex: the defeat of the
Islamic State can not be without direct application on the ground, both
from the Kurdish militia and the Shiite militia, two protagonists, which
for different reasons are not welcome to Sunni galaxy, especially if Turkey also includes this alliance. The
central point is that in the already unstable Middle Eastern scenario,
the fracture within the Sunni block can only lead to further
uncertainty, especially if we consider Trump's ambiguous and above all
uncertain role. In
this context, the quest for emergence of subjects, albeit important but
more peripheral in the regional context, such as Egypt, is a novelty,
which must be contextualized to the needs of Cairo, which is essentially
an international way to solve its own Internal problems, both politically and economically. To
surrender part of its territory and, consequently, to lose sovereignty
over strategic positions involves a calculated sacrifice, but only to
the contingent situation, which does not take into account the virtually
certain discontent that is being added to a population already strongly
tested. Al
Sisi's strategy, which seeks to recover international positions, could
prove fatal on the domestic front, fueling hostile hostility even
because of the proximity to Tel Aviv and bringing the country to a
critical point that could only complicate The general picture of the Arab situation.
Iscriviti a:
Commenti sul post (Atom)
Nessun commento:
Posta un commento