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lunedì 28 agosto 2017

France: Macron falls in polls

The enthusiasm following Macron's election as President of the French Republic seems to have already vanished in a few months. From his election, which took place in the first days of May to date, France's youngest president saw his 22 percentage points drop, rising from 62% to 40%. This figure represents a huge drop in such a limited period of time, which opens up problematic scenarios for next fall, when work reforms should start, with a strong liberalization on which the deep left-wing aversion and trade unions already exist French. If the promise of strikes and demonstrations, as is expected to be confirmed, the likes of the elite of the Elysee may come down again. Contributing to this decline could have also affected the announced cuts program of around 80 billion euros to be made in 4 or 5 years, which has already begun with the decoupling of 850 million in the defense budget, a factor that has led to the resignation of Chief of Defense's Defense, who called the president a "young authoritarian". However, these economic data are only the result of Macron's election, while the fall in the French's favor has its origins to be sought well before its election. His fortune was to get to the ballot against the far right and anti-European champion Marine Le Pen, after the first round saw a clear political fragmentation with the partial success of the extreme left and the cancellation Final of the Socialist Party. Traditional moderate forces saw a net drop, pouring their own approvals on Macron. But it should be remembered that the French president came to the ballot with only 24.10% of the votes, a result too low to create a broad consensus base in the country. The victory over the far right, greeted mainly with enthusiasm for the escape of the French country to extremist training and against Europe, took place in a very high abstention climate, signaling that many voters, beyond Not to recognize them in any of the two candidates, they put them, though for different reasons, on the same plane. Indeed, if there was a refusal for a representative of the far right, on the other there could be no liking for a representative of liberalism and finance. A large part of French voters, coinciding with those who did not go to the ballot box was already pretty much against the new French president still pushing for the election, and the initial 62% rating was due only to the immediacy of the escaped danger of See a far-right representative to cover the country's highest office. Upon completion of this, it was logical that Emmanuel Macron's likelihood would decrease, although in such proportions it was not anticipated. This is due to a leadership attitude and a mix of cracking policies that have not been paid off as promised in the electoral camp. These signs, beyond the internal political meanings of France, point out how the French electoral system to guarantee governability, sacrifice representation, emptying much the authority of the presidential role. The result of the last French presidential election was determined by the choice of the candidate worse than the remaining ones and this consideration is enough to explain a decline in popularity that had already been announced. If France's internal policy is tough times, this is also true for Europe, because the new president of France is the social part that has led to the distrust of Brussels, the one that has protected banks and financial institutions and, Through the rigors of the budget coupled with wild liberalization, has worsened the lives of European citizens. The French President is the cause of the existence and affirmation of movements such as that of Marine Le Pen and his announced policy seems to confirm even more this feeling. If this is true in France, there will be more and more negative comments on Europe, which will come not only from the far right, but also from the far left and will not have any heavy repercussions on the whole continent. From the danger of Marine Le Pen, which should increase his consensus, he went to Emmanuel Macron's, more subtle but equally dangerous.

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