Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 25 agosto 2017
Iran and Saudi Arabia are trying to get closer
Iran's and Saudi Arabia's diplomacy is experiencing a timid rapprochement. At this time formal relations between the two countries are interrupted for their withdrawals from embassies from the capital. The
first step in the rapprochement was the announcement by Tehran Foreign
Minister of an exchange of visits between the representatives of the two
states, which is considered a pre-requisite for re-linking bilateral
relations. The
first result to be achieved is the reopening of the embassies of the
two countries as a key element for cooling relations between Iran and
Saudi Arabia. This
scenario will, in addition to normalizing relations between the two
countries, also help to resolve two crisis scenarios, such as Syria and
Yemen. Another
problem that could be solved is the isolation imposed on Qatar by the
Persian Gulf monarchies, just for its relations with the Iranian
government. The Iranian hope is that Saudi Arabia may reconsider some of its policies to foster a positive attitude of Tehran. The
division between the two countries is charged with religious reasons,
which are undoubtedly present, as the two nations are the major
representatives of the two parts in which Islam is divided. This has generated in the past, and even now, deep contrasts, which have turned into political clashes; However,
the reasons for the distance between the two countries are also of an
economic nature, both of which are major producers of raw materials
linked to the energy sector and of the desire to extend their respective
geopolitical influence in the Middle East. Iran,
after the nuclear agreements, is slowly coming out of international
isolation and has taken on an increasingly important role in the
regional context, effectively fighting the Saudi. Iranian
engagement, directly opposed to the Islamic state, has further
increased Tehran's importance in the international scenario, but has
heightened the confrontation with Saudi Arabia, precisely because it has
put in place Shiite fighters against Sunni, albeit belonging to To the terrorist forces of the Islamic State. This
factor contributed to the preservation of Shiite Shiite Iraq, the
invasion of Caliphate forces, but at the same time highlighted the
Iranian will to regain a prominent position in the regional and
international chess. This
provoked the Arab reaction, which coagulated around the major Sunni
countries, such as Turkey and Egypt, beyond the unofficial support of
Israel, a historic enemy of Tehran. To
this must be added the change of the American attitude, which with
Obama was marked by a substantial balance between the two countries,
especially after reaching the agreement on Iranian nuclear, while Trump
has shown greater contiguity with Saudi Arabia. To balance this opposing deployment, Iran has approached Moscow, which is allied to the Syrian conflict in support of Assad. However,
it is important for Teheran to continue to play a prominent role at the
diplomatic level and to be conciliatory in favor of the development of
interrupted international relations. On
the table, one has to solve, first and foremost the Qatar question,
which must come out of the isolation imposed by the Sunni countries and
the much more tragic one in Yemen, where the Saudi conflict and Shiite
beliefs have dragged on for too long, creating A very worrying health situation for the presence of cholera. It
is understood that without a basic agreement between Iran and Saudi
Arabia, there is no way to negotiate these and other scenarios where the
two countries are either direct or indirect, but in any case opposed. Needless
to say, the resumption of relations between the two countries would
also be a factor of stabilization not least for the whole region.
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