Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 7 agosto 2017
Trump's weakness
The Kremlin's condemnation of Washington's new sanctions is firm; Putin
has stated that Russia will safeguard its interests, but Moscow does
not seem to change anything, as Russia's spokesman said. In
fact, this does not exactly correspond to the truth: for Moscow it ends
up with the illusion of bringing the United States closer to Russia,
despite the efforts that were probably made during the US election
campaign. In
the Kremlin they were convinced that fostering the highest monocratic
office in a presidential republic would be enough to have an influence
on the entire American system; The
Russians have reasoned as if the US had an institutional functioning
like that of their own country, without taking into account the
existence of power balancing systems, completely absent in a democracy
that was not fulfilled like that of Russia. The
plunder that was produced in Moscow for these results led Prime
Minister Medvedev to interrupt the unpublished rule of Russian
diplomacy, which forces him not to intrude on domestic affairs of
foreign countries, to accuse Trump of utter impotence and be humiliated From the American Congress, to whom it would have given implicitly executive power. Formally,
Russia has already retaliated, eliminating a number of embassy workers,
equal to those expelled by Obama and closing down a number of
properties used by US diplomats; In
fact, this decision could open up to a new course of tension in the
relations between the two countries, including the exercise in Belarus,
at the border of the European Union and the Atlantic Alliance, where
100,000 Moscow. But
the biggest defeat of the affair is not Putin, who also faces a great
deal of discomfort, especially in relation to what has been invested to
prevent Clinton's election, but the US President Trump, who sees a
progressive departure from all the goals that had been set In the electoral campaign, where, in foreign policy, the distension with Russia was the main one. The
White House tenant appears more and more isolated, especially within a
party, which has never been too overwhelmed, and that if it is seen to
impose on the Tea Party and the minority part of Republicans, the ones
to the right of political formation . Trump
himself claimed to have signed sanctions on behalf of the country's
unity and blamed the Congress for the negative evolution that has taken
the relationship with Russia, revealing a clear political weakness. It
is not to be ruled out that the American president did not want to
force relations with the Congress, even in fear of new accusations of
Russia's intrusion into the elections, which could lead to more serious
and concrete consequences than the present ones. It
is understood that Trump's figure is increasingly weakened by the
development of the international situation, coupled with a downturn of
internal popularity, which is taking place drastically. The
consequent question is what authority the White House tenant has to
lead the United States at such a delicate historical time. The
answer is not only related to the disadvantages that the USA may have
on the internal level, but also with respect to world equilibria, in a
scenario that is constantly evolving and with a multitude of different
actors characterized by a power Growing in various regional spheres. Probably
Trump would not even be able to preside over the US in the Cold War,
with only two opposing subjects, but now its approximation and poor
follow-up, especially in the political, military, and economic
environments that actually hold power, are bringing the Country
without a certain and recognized leadership that, in a presidential
democracy, is likely to have more serious institutional repercussions.
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