Politica Internazionale

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lunedì 7 agosto 2017

Trump's weakness

The Kremlin's condemnation of Washington's new sanctions is firm; Putin has stated that Russia will safeguard its interests, but Moscow does not seem to change anything, as Russia's spokesman said. In fact, this does not exactly correspond to the truth: for Moscow it ends up with the illusion of bringing the United States closer to Russia, despite the efforts that were probably made during the US election campaign. In the Kremlin they were convinced that fostering the highest monocratic office in a presidential republic would be enough to have an influence on the entire American system; The Russians have reasoned as if the US had an institutional functioning like that of their own country, without taking into account the existence of power balancing systems, completely absent in a democracy that was not fulfilled like that of Russia. The plunder that was produced in Moscow for these results led Prime Minister Medvedev to interrupt the unpublished rule of Russian diplomacy, which forces him not to intrude on domestic affairs of foreign countries, to accuse Trump of utter impotence and be humiliated From the American Congress, to whom it would have given implicitly executive power. Formally, Russia has already retaliated, eliminating a number of embassy workers, equal to those expelled by Obama and closing down a number of properties used by US diplomats; In fact, this decision could open up to a new course of tension in the relations between the two countries, including the exercise in Belarus, at the border of the European Union and the Atlantic Alliance, where 100,000 Moscow. But the biggest defeat of the affair is not Putin, who also faces a great deal of discomfort, especially in relation to what has been invested to prevent Clinton's election, but the US President Trump, who sees a progressive departure from all the goals that had been set In the electoral campaign, where, in foreign policy, the distension with Russia was the main one. The White House tenant appears more and more isolated, especially within a party, which has never been too overwhelmed, and that if it is seen to impose on the Tea Party and the minority part of Republicans, the ones to the right of political formation . Trump himself claimed to have signed sanctions on behalf of the country's unity and blamed the Congress for the negative evolution that has taken the relationship with Russia, revealing a clear political weakness. It is not to be ruled out that the American president did not want to force relations with the Congress, even in fear of new accusations of Russia's intrusion into the elections, which could lead to more serious and concrete consequences than the present ones. It is understood that Trump's figure is increasingly weakened by the development of the international situation, coupled with a downturn of internal popularity, which is taking place drastically. The consequent question is what authority the White House tenant has to lead the United States at such a delicate historical time. The answer is not only related to the disadvantages that the USA may have on the internal level, but also with respect to world equilibria, in a scenario that is constantly evolving and with a multitude of different actors characterized by a power Growing in various regional spheres. Probably Trump would not even be able to preside over the US in the Cold War, with only two opposing subjects, but now its approximation and poor follow-up, especially in the political, military, and economic environments that actually hold power, are bringing the Country without a certain and recognized leadership that, in a presidential democracy, is likely to have more serious institutional repercussions.

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