Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 21 novembre 2017
Israel and Saudi Arabia, official allies
Having
made official the collaboration between Israel and Saudi Arabia makes
visible a relationship that already existed in an unofficial manner. The
two states have the main enemy Iran, which they fear for regional
expansion, which is likely to alter the equilibrium of the Middle East. Arabia
has stated that the only problem with Tel Aviv is the Palestinian
question, for the rest of the country believes that the allies are
reliable allies; furthermore, the ongoing collaboration was already on a
military, strategic, and well-known basis; the
fact that it becomes more effective marks a novelty in the diplomatic
field, where the alliance between the Jewish state and the major Sunni
nation, then Muslim, is sanctioned for the first time. On
the international level, one can not fail to note that this is the case
with Trump's presidency in the United States, clearly opposed to
Tehran, so much that it wants to revoke the agreement on nuclear power,
so hard-pressed. The deep aversion to Iran has thus facilitated a new alliance, which with Obama probably would not have been possible. For
Arabia, this is religious supremacy and competition in the energy
market, while Israel's predominance is the question of its national
security. Tehran
has done everything to gain a leading role in the Middle East, in the
Syrian question and in the struggle against the Islamic state, initially
funded by the Saudis. Israel,
within the new coalition, would have the function of preventing
Iranians from using Hezbollah militia as avant-gardes of their strategy,
while the Saudis would try to prevent Iraq from developing too much
rooted Shiite power. For
Saudi Arabia, it might repeat the pattern that led to intervention in
Yemen, hindering, that is, every Shiite religion connected with Iran. If
an official collaboration between the Israeli state and the main Muslim
country could be a positive novelty, the reasons for this link do not
encourage good prospects on the international stage: because Iran has
come closer and closer to Russia, with which shares
the interest in maintaining Assad's power, while trade ties with China
have tightened since the sanctions against Tehran have dimmed. The
Middle East, therefore, is back in the center of the world political
scene in a clear and decisive manner and contributes to be another
factor in distance between Moscow and Washington. From
the point of view of the Palestinian question, Saudi Arabia has stated
that the problem is the only element of division from Israel and that it
will strive to resolve it. Saudi
diplomatic action is thus desirable for the solution of the problem,
which can not be ignored since the birth of a Palestinian state
alongside that of Israel. If
this does not happen the most extremist Palestinian movements, but not
only those, could enter the Iranian orbit, because Tehran had good
reasons to stand up as a Palestinian defender and use the instrument in
an instrumental way, also in the light of links between Hezbollah and
groups Palestinian. If
the issue is considered fundamental to Muslims, because it is well felt
in the Arab countries, especially in the popular strata, it seems
reasonable to assume that Arabia has not underestimated the issue, even
for the reference role that the Saudi country always wants to more in the Sunni world, not only religious but also political. A failure to resolve the Palestinian problem would be a serious image damage to the Saudi monarchy. At
this point, however, it is necessary to evaluate the conduct of the Tel
Aviv government so far, consistently in procrastinating the solution of
the problem in a methodological way, in order to favor settlements of
the colonies. With
an alliance with Saudi Arabia, will this behavior continue, or can
Israel sacrifice its will to ground the Palestinians to protect
themselves against the Iranian country? From
Tel Aviv there is no sort of reassurance on a rogue in the attitude
towards the Palestinians, and everything suggests that tactics will
remain unchanged; Arabia
could consider the secondary Palestinian problem facing the Iranian
threat and postpone its solution but this will only aggravate the
overall situation in the region - just what the Saudis wanted to avoid.
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