Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
Politica Internazionale
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venerdì 20 luglio 2018
Europe develops alternative economic strategies to the USA
Against
the intrusion of the President of the United States, Europe is
currently opposing a strategy of trade agreements: a response that is
only partly political, which is part of the greater room for maneuver,
the economic one, available to Brussels. Certainly
agreeing with China, the main economic adversary, of the US, is also a
political act, which has a signified of an aversion to Washington's
politics. However,
the new trade agreements with China appear to be an obligatory choice
to preserve the economic benefits that Trump's trade war risks to
reduce. Of
course, the agreement with Beijing is in the name of free trade and
globalization and takes place on the basis of the philosophy of
multilateral relations, in a clear antithesis to the protectionist
measures of the North American country; but
the nature of the agreement is also doubtful because it is stipulated
between two subjects with visions that are profoundly different on the
rights and also unbalanced in terms of costs and guarantees of the
respective workers. The
most important factor remains the market, which with its volume of
trade between Europe and China ensures the value of a billion and a half
of goods exchanged between the two parties. This
figure is the most eloquent to find a sort of justification for the
relationship with China: to continue to ensure a level of production
that could be reduced by the duties that Trump wants to apply on
European products. If,
on the one hand, we can understand the desire to provide European
companies with an outlet for their productions, we must also consider
whether China can only be an economic partner or, through this
relationship, does not want to be ever more influential in Europe. This
danger is such because the European political relevance is still too
limited by the room for maneuver that its members are unable to grant; it
must be very clear that greater political integration, with a specific
central institutional weight supported by the member states, guarantees
to the central institutions a greater capacity for bargaining and for
responding to external political demands. On
the other hand, it is also necessary to safeguard the Union from the
external attacks of characters like Trump, but also as Putin, who aim at
a division of Europe to take greater advantage in economic and
political negotiations, as well as having smaller and fragmented
opponents compared to a unitary subject. The
threat also comes from a front that can be defined as internal with the
parties in favor of national sovereignty, closer to Trump and,
therefore, hostile to agreements with China. The
real danger is that the approach to China will become a further topic
of division within the Union, a further factor of destabilization
capable of compromising the current fragile balance. However,
the need to maintain the current economic level can mitigate, at least
in the short term, all doubts of the approach to China. One
solution may be to take advantage of this period to open negotiations
with Beijing on the subject of human rights, including them in trade
agreements. Brussels,
however, can start from the common vision with China on the theme of
global warming and the fight against pollution, about which the European
positions are close to those in China and more and more distant from
those of the United States of Trump. Meanwhile,
on the commercial front, Europe always looks to the east but with a
subject, such as Japan, with which it has more similarities. After four years of negotiations, the agreement between Europe and Japan has been unblocked by US isolationist tendencies; the
two parties have signed an agreement that has been defined as the
largest ever stipulated between the two areas and which provides for
free trade, eliminating tariff barriers in the automobile sectors, and
in agricultural and food sectors, beyond the signing of several common
policies regarding both regional and multilateral issues. These
are unequivocal signs that the US allies are developing and developing
alternative strategies that predict the absence of Washington from their
negotiating tables and which mark a radical change in international
politics regarding Western countries.
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