Trump opens up to Iran

Trump's offer to Iran, for a resumption of dialogue, has caused unanimous reactions to Tehran. While for the moderates it would be an opportunity, also with a view to being able to avoid sanctions and thus give a boost to an economy in serious difficulty, the conservative side believes that Trump's proposal should not even be considered without the US they come back to consider the Obama nuclear agreement signed, along with Russia, China, France, Great Britain and Germany. Trump's tactic is applied to the negotiation scheme now typical of the American president: to face aggressively the interlocutor, as the first phase, and then move on to a less harsh line, which foresees unexpected openings. A line of conduct where the conduct of negotiations must always be in the hands of the head of the White House. This pattern seems to have worked with North Korea, except for denials that consist of Pyongyang's ambiguous behavior, but does not seem to apply to the entire Iranian establishment. Despite the fact that the nuclear deal has been historic, the most fundamentalist and conservative groups have never been in favor of what was signed, because they consider it a limitation on Iranian sovereignty in the face of the international community. The fact that the new American president has withdrawn the signing of the agreement has been the confirmation of the American unreliability, which remains Iran's number one enemy. For the conservatives, Trump's proposal is considered a humiliation to which one must avoid submitting, not to be compared to North Korea, forced to sit at the negotiating table from a situation of absolute need. However, if the US were to reduce economic pressures, perhaps at least some conservatives could change their minds. The attitude of the progressives, who are in government and who consider the American openness as a possibility that can help to revive the economy of the country, is different. The American pressure has caused the withdrawal of many potential investors and the listing of the Iranian currency has suffered a depreciation, causing significant increases in consumer prices, which have already caused several street protests. To be able to reverse this trend would be a success for the progressives because it would make a great contribution to the stability of the country. Of course the behavior of Europe and its companies will be decisive, which are very undecided between the benefits of potential Iranian orders and the fear of possible American sanctions, which Washington has promised for those who do not comply with US regulations. From a political point of view, Brussels has always been convinced in confirming the agreement, guaranteeing its support to Tehran, but the American pressure could cause a misalignment between the positions of the Union and the real behavior of European industries and investors due to of the fear of seeing the American market precluded. One of the requests considered most important by the Iranian government is not to block the exports of crude oil, which have reached the figure of 2.8 million barrels a day and which would be fired by next November. This argument could represent an excellent starting point for a negotiation between the two countries, which, if it happened, would have positive repercussions for both the contenders. For Trump to be able to win the diplomatic success with Iran, it would be the second international affirmation after the one obtained with North Korea. For the ruling government in Tehran the statement would be even double: internal because it would have the consequence of averting a dangerous economy and external drift because it would allow Iran to deal on a par with the US. Consider these assessments, if the US proves reasonable and loosens the pressure on Iran, there are good chances to get to the opening of negotiations; with which outcomes it is not known.