The current situation on the Korean peninsula

Coinciding with the seventieth anniversary of the founding of Northern Correa, South Korea's diplomatic activity continues to prevent the thawing climate between Washington and Pyongyang from being ruined by the slowing of the denuclearization of Pyongyang. The third summit between the two Koreas, after those of April and May, is scheduled between September 18th and 20th and will take place in the North Korean capital. The main objective of the President of South Korea is to avoid a new deterioration between Washington and Pyongyang due to the blocking of North Korea's nuclear disarmament denounced by the United States. After last June's meeting in Singapore between the two enemy countries, concrete actions were carried out that initiated the détente, such as the closure of the North Korean nuclear testing site and the interruption of joint military exercises between the US and North Korea. Despite this, according to the White House, Pyongyang would have slowed down the process of denuclearization and would have fueled Washington's suspicions that Kim Jong-a was carrying out the North Korean nuclear program. This resentment has taken formal form with the cancellation of the diplomatic voyage to the capital of North Korea, by the US Secretary of State, which was to take place in July. Instead, North Korea challenges this reading, and claims the progress made and says it is ready to cooperate with both South Korea and the United States. The availability of the North Korean regime could be a tactic to take time and allow a concrete formulation of a strategy to tackle the diplomatic difficulties, which are followed by a forced decision, caused by the disparity of forces with the US and the contingency of the need to break the embargo to avoid dangerous drifts in a highly controlled population, but exhausted by years of famine. The central point is whether North Korea intends to give up its nuclear program, which is the only weapon of bargaining on the international scene and the insurance of the survival of the regime and of Kim Jong-un himself. The impression is that the North Korean dictator found himself practically forced to sign an agreement, without an alternative plan, from which the need to gain time. Meanwhile, Kim Jong-un estimated that the denuclearization program could be concluded with the end of Trump's mandate in 2012, this seems to want to be a tool to convince the American President through his ego. The short-term goal of South Korea is to obtain the denuclearization of the peninsula, but the most ambitious one is to reach the signature of a peace treaty, which definitively puts an end to the Korean war, which is still formally underway: in fact the end of hostilities is, for now, still regulated by the armistice signed in 1953. Seoul to get to the signing of the peace treaty must have the support of the United States, which will have to sign it as a nation that led the alliance against Korea of the communist North and its allies China and Russia. Therefore, South Korea has every interest in keeping the dialogue between Pyongyang and Washington open, but once again the unknown is on the real intentions of the North Korean dictator, who continues to be available to meet representatives from the south, because understands, that at this moment I am the only intermediary with the United States. Central to understanding the situation will be the role China will want to play, at this moment in silence on the subject; for Beijing it is important that North Korea survives as an independent state and there is no unification of the Koreas, which would mean a country on the border under US influence. If China intends to use the dictatorship of Kim Jong-un as a counter-instrument to the US, peace will be hard to reach, vice versa the continuation of the dictatorship in a weakened and less closed way could provide cheap labor and a new potential market for Chinese products, while the North Korean role of the Chinese ally and the barrier to American influence in the region would remain unaltered. This could be a compromise valid for all components only if the denuclearization process was completed and established in a secure manner.