Turkey will attack the Syrian Kurds

Turkey's intention remains to have the borders with Syria free from Kurdish forces, which occupy the territories conquered by the Islamic State. The presence of American forces, of which the Kurds were the most committed allies on the ground, has so far held back Ankara's intentions. But the White House administration considers the caliphate defeated in these areas and President Trump, focused on other internal and international aspects, would be willing to withdraw troops from the border between Syria and Turkey. This favors the imminent Turkish military operation against the Kurds, which Ankara is about to start. The declared intention of the United States is not to hinder the Turkish military, siding with the Kurdish forces. It would be a very dreaded resolution capable of compromising the fragile regional balance, which is followed by the defeat of the Islamic State. If, as it seems, Turkey will attack the Kurdish militias present in Syria, then operating on foreign territory, it will provoke the reaction of Damascus and its Russian allies and perhaps also the Iranians, who have also fought alongside the Kurds against the caliphate. The abstention of the United States can cause a serious cause of international conflict due to the Turkish expansionist will. We must remember the suspicions that among the funders of the caliphate, in addition to the Saudis, there was also Turkey, which hoped to maneuver Islamic extremists in its anti-Kurdish function. The Kurdish militias have had a long collaboration with the Americans and Washington's betrayal could shift the Kurdish position towards the Assad regime, which has nonetheless collaborated with the Kurdish militias and assured the Kurds a certain autonomy within the Syrian state. This would also mean an approach to the Russians, who would gain a valuable ally within the regional framework. The possible cause of American behavior, in addition to the previously mentioned disengagement announced and never implemented, could be the desire to recover the relationship with Ankara, which remains an important member of the Atlantic Alliance. The real question is, however, if Turkey can be considered a still reliable ally. The impression is that the Turkish government, in great difficulty with the internal situation of the country, uses the Kurdish question to distract popular attention from its inability to manage public affairs, with an economy in serious difficulty and without centrality anymore regional for the failure of the project to extend the influence of the Turkish country to the area corresponding to the former Ottoman empire. To combat this crisis of internal credibility, the Ankara government finds nothing better than to insist on the Kurdish terrorist issue, sacrificing a regional peace, which, while fragile, represents a goal for US objectives. Washington, by sacrificing the Kurds, can lose a substantial share of international credibility, a far more serious loss than the commitment to prevent an attack on fundamental allies for the fight against the Islamic State, whose defeat has long been one of the main objectives of the policy US foreign. We do not know if the White House's attitude derives from a calculation that is perhaps wrong or from the umpteenth improvisation of a political class unprepared and short-sighted in its decisions, but the consequences of leaving the go-ahead to the Turks are likely to be very heavy for politics foreign trade. For Turkey, on the other hand, a tough and bloody battle is expected against the Kurds, despite the increased military strength and the resumption of attacks within the national territory, with the population once again threatened by military action implemented only to satisfy the ambitions of greatness of the Turkish president and to hide his inefficiencies.