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martedì 19 marzo 2013

Strained relations between the U.S. and China for the Korean question

The United States seems to take a different attitude on the issue of North Korea. If until now reiterated their unconditional support especially to South Korea, but also in Japan, with a mixture of diplomatic initiatives, which have seen the tightening of sanctions against Pyongyang, and joint military exercises with South Korean forces, now with the threats of North Korea, the nuclear test was successful, led to a debate at Washington which led to the need for greater military commitment to respond with greater intensity, the North Korean threat. The deployment of up to 14 interceptor missiles in Alaska, in addition to the amount already present, was clearly intended to increase the defense in the case of the long-threatened nuclear attack. This measure follows the deployment of B-52 bombers over the skies of North Korea, as a clear warning to the dictator Kim Jong-un. These are preventive measures, the U.S. has no intention to carry out military actions directly on North Korean soil, but also serve to reassure Seoul, direct commitment of the forces of the Pentagon and, together, avoid hasty moves by South Korea, is immediate, and providing for program changes on the nuclear arms race. The U.S. wants to avoid a dangerous nuclear proliferation in the Korean Peninsula, not to create a highly unstable region in a crucial area for the passage of goods. Moreover, this instability of equilibrium, should be reflected in a constant potential danger of nuclear war between two countries deeply divided, able to drag you into far greater powers, just as China and the USA, which are natural allies of the two nations contenders. Washington, while taking its countermeasures, do not believe in the possibility of being subject to a North Korean attack, but does not intend to underestimate the satellite data, collected after Pyongyang's nuclear test. There is in fact the probability that the bomb detonated has smaller dimensions, in front of a highly destructive power, which may allow the placement of a vector of long-range. Hardly rocket that could pass the checks and U.S. missile defenses, but may be able to get, without being intercepted, South Korea, causing a conflict must be avoided. It must be said that this possibility could only lead to the destruction of the state of North Korea, absolutely not considered capable of withstanding a conflict inevitable after such a provocation. However, the state of exhaustion of the national mail in the north of the Korean peninsula, does not exclude extreme gestures. Of course, the U.S. military deployment could not trigger protests in China, they see a change in the balance of military force, in the choice of the U.S. to increase its potential deterrent. Some observers, however, wanted to take American demonstrations directed against Pyongyang, the opportunity to reaffirm Beijing's hostility towards big plans for rearmament and strengthening the armed forces, the Republic of China is pursuing through considerable investment. The centrality that Obama has given to South-East Asia, provides a greater American involvement in that area, the great economic potential and productive. The error of China, which gives a similarly ambitions in the region, was to not do enough to limit the action of North Korea, given its influence on the country. The escalation Pyongyang's nuclear and subsequent threats that Beijing has failed to affect the least, have given the United States the opportunity to show its military force as a warning not only to North Korea, but also for all countries the area. This development of the North Korean crisis, which affects the entire region then passing on to the question borders much wider, it should have an impact also on the direct relations between Beijing and Washington, which do not cross itself already a good time on charges of espionage and electronic sabotage moves to China. This fact may increase the status of latent tension between the two countries, growing hostility and distrust for the Chinese who lived in Beijing, as an invasion of the field in an area that even with all the caveats appropriate, China believes fall under its area of ​​influence. In this regard, the American activism, growing in the region, may have been stressed also by Japan, in competition with China for the islands. This set of scenarios shows that the evolution of the situation is directing the behavior of the powers involved in a game that is becoming increasingly limits much wider one of the Korean peninsula, although the heart of the matter remains firmly framed within that territory.

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