The dialogue in Yemen facing a crucial moment

In Yemen officially opened the box that wants to bring the new fundamental law of the country, and then tackle the elections scheduled for the month of February 2014, at the conclusion of the transition process opened in February 2012. The evolution of the political situation in Yemen is a very interesting case in the eyes of analysts, both in how you arrived at this solution, which is the only case of a negotiated settlement followed a riot, and for the future directions that the state will take. The initial situation is not, however, completely quiet, there is strong opposition from the movement of the south of the country that will participate in the ninth meetings, holding them incompatible with its objective to restore the situation prior to 1990, when the two were Yemenis were: to the north and the south. But in the north there are pockets of resistance to the rebellion of the Scythians, a minority of the country and crushed with the help of the Sunni states of the Gulf, is a source of potential instability, especially for bonds and loans Iranians. To reduce the influence of Tehran were concessions to the Scythians, which have improved the lives of the community, but the deep inequalities still exist and may represent elements of stark contrast. In this situation, the general expectation is feared, however, possible accidents that have resulted in the strengthening of security measures. The dialogue is born under the blessing of the Security Council of the United Nations, which sees occasion a possible example for other Arab states, even if the present difficulties do not assume any result. If the peaceful transition will be able to complete its journey, it will be interesting to see what the outcome of the polls, the danger of a new theocracy, on the model of what has happened in the Arab states of the southern Mediterranean, is a real possibility, even if the presence of minority growth, will certainly influence the vote by providing less support to Sunni confessional parties, in this context will be crucial to see which choice will focus on the Scythians: if the matrix of confessional parties but opposite to the Sunni, potentially transferring in halls of parliament to the dichotomy of Islam, so probably not find a summary of appropriate policy, or if you prefer to choose the most secular parties, able to develop strategies to broader political spectrum, able to guarantee the rights of minorities. The political laboratory of Yemen will thus provide alternative pathways to the evolution of steps dictatorship forms of democracies too influenced by religious elements, representing a significant new developments in the political landscape Arabic.