Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 8 aprile 2013
Sale of understanding between China and the U.S. by the North Korean crisis
In the strategy in foreign policy, China, North Korea was supposed to represent a kind of country bearing, limiting the potential of South Korea, both from an economic standpoint, that geopolitical. The ever closer alliance between Seoul and Washington had to find an insurmountable barrier in the country of North Korea, which was to assume the role of trench in favor of Beijing, also because of the location. With the change of regime, Pyongyang shows they want to have their own freedom of action to get the real benefits that can not do by hand. China's position in this scenario changed radically, is the one that most amazes Beijing, in fact, seems to have been caught by surprise by the direction they have taken the events that are going in the completely opposite to the material interests of Beijing. If the role of Pyongyang had to be, in some way, such as to make an effect of calm and stabilization, albeit in a context of precarious equilibrium, the current behavior is likely to lead a greater presence of Americans up to the limit of the Chinese border, just what and believed that Beijing did not want to avoid due to the strategic presence of North Korea. For China, the optimal condition was that the region would remain in force a system of relations based on alliances opposing, perfectly balanced, which would allow the continuation of the status quo, in the end, convenient to all parties involved. The change of attitude of North Korea, which as a loyal ally of China, has taken on the role of scientific wild card, as well as much more upset that the territorial balance, emphasized the absolute unpreparedness of Chinese diplomacy to anticipate and prevent the current state of things. This finding, if possible, puts even more alarmed the whole world, because China was considered the only foreign country with a degree of in-depth knowledge of what is called the hermit state, for his seal to the rest of the world. Now, this definition is more appropriate, there is a sense of emptiness about the possibility of exercising an influence on Pyongyang adequate. These days, characterized by convulsive activity, the substantial immobility China has aroused great concern in the international scene, but it must be said that a major problem in China at the moment is just to find the appropriate way to exert any form of pressure Pyongyang. If he fails in this task, for Chinese diplomacy would be a defeat with enormous repercussions on their international credibility. It is on this subject that base their hopes U.S. to dampen the crisis. According to some analysts, this occasion, it would, indeed, a means to usher in new forms of collaboration and open to renewed definition of the mutual relations between the U.S. and China. Moreover, it is common interest of the two superpowers that peace returns to reign immediately to facilitate large economic interests, which cover the spheres of influence of the two states. The recent U.S. move, which saw block the movement of some missiles from the United States toward North Korea near the country, should be read as an act of relaxing, but also framed in a strategy that could be studied with Beijing, just to leave the field open to Chinese efforts to reduce North Korea to reason. The success of initiatives that China can only put in place, will depend on many of the geopolitical that will characterize the next few years, which will hopefully be confined to economic competition.
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