The U.S. is afraid of North Korea's missile launch

The nuclear escalation could be closer in and out of potential hypotheses, but considered remote. The attitude of the U.S., always very cautious, apparently changed in the last hour: the belief that the threat of Pyongyang were devoid below, is now following a phase where, however, it is believed the reality that North Korea could launch a bomb nuclear. The evidence would come from South Korean and American intelligence services, as well as highly detailed images detected by spy satellites, which have identified changes that would indicate the move, via rail, a medium-range missile on the east coast of the country. It would thus be a missile with a maximum range of 4,000 kilometers, capable of reaching the island of Guam, which is about 3200 km from North Korea. This island was one of the territories declared explicitly, along with Hawaii and the west coast of the United States, by the Pyongyang regime as a possible target to hit with a nuclear warhead. According to the South Korean missile could be launched on the anniversary of the birth of the founder of the communist dynasty, Kim Il-Sung, which falls on 15 April. The U.S. military has announced that it will strengthen the missile system base on Guam, at this point, it becomes a key point in the system of regional defense against North Korean missiles. However, in this climate could also be that the U.S. opt for a pre-emptive strike can hit installations Pyongyang. The choice is not easy to implement, both for military implications that policies. Installations of Pyongyang are very camouflaged and one of the scruples of Obama is to avoid involving the civilian population, but in the next few hours could still materialize military measures which must necessarily exceed the demonstration until now crossed by U.S. forces. The other strategy, which concerns the expectation of an attack, could have foiled after North Korean missiles, launch a reprisal in a big way, which should, however, be distinguished by speed and incisiveness without the use of ground forces. Right now Obama does not intend to engage in any new war, especially of long duration and high costs. Of course if you choose for a preemptive strike will then be very difficult to restrain Israel. This factor could be decisive in the strategy to be adopted. In addition, a first step the U.S. could completely alter the current structure of international relations, while an attitude of expectation, albeit unnerving, can compact the whole international scene against North Korea. The next few days will be crucial, as long as China does not choose to speak in the first person, abandoning the current caution, and forcing the military road to Pyongyang milder claims.