Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 20 maggio 2013
Back voltage to North Korea
After a period of apparent calm that lasted several weeks, North Korea withdrew from the state of tranquility launching the third short-range missile in three days. These launches have not been accompanied by the rhetoric of the regime to the outside, condensed into threats against the United States, Japan and South Korea Missiles used for the test launch are derived from Soviet-made products and have a range of about 150 km, so it is short-range ballistic carriers that do not violate international agreements and can not be sanctioned in accordance with the principle of national sovereignty. However, since Pyongyang, the whole world is watching with concern the new North Korean actions, which are closely monitored and that just by the mere fact of coming from North Korea create tension, increasing the level of attention is always present in the neighboring countries. In reality, the fact that these tests are not followed the usual proclamations anti-Western indicates that the fact concerns questions internal to the North Korean regime and the use that is made of military means as a propaganda tool. It should be noted that the preponderance of the military within the state is overwhelming for both the quantity of power management, which for the availability of finance available. The apparatus that governs North Korea is based on the explicit manifestation of power through tangible acts and according as told to the media of the regime, on the perception that it absorbs the people, this element must never be forgotten in a state that is based on ceremonies and rhetoric completely outside of the Western understanding and not just because it follows a logic unique and very special not comparable to events in the other countries. After a long standoff with the UN, the Western states and also with the Chinese ally, the government of Pyongyang, author of explicit threats that threaten a real nuclear war, has embarked on the path of international silence by shutting the verbal intimidation which was followed by a starring as a surrender to silence opponents objectively not attackable. The situation has crystallized so without prejudice to the following property that we hoped and that was to see the resumption of talks for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. While this development there has been no analysts were unanimous in saying that the threat of an event highly dangerous as the atomic bombing was certainly averted as well as remote. But within the country the rhetoric of the regime needs to maintain its habitual presence, perhaps mystifying and altering the news, with the usual tests of strength. That in place in North Korea is probably a struggle creeping among the various dominant castes of the country, who need to prove their presence in the country and their strength. In this view launches a repetition of short-range missiles can be passed off as evidence that those in power did not give to scare the West guilty of sanctions being put on the country, but if this is true, this show of force also expressed the need for Pyongyang to see who actually holds the power and this could imply some crunch in the dictatorship, especially in relation to the management of the country underwent a difficult economic condition, which affects even the retrieval of the amount of food necessary to sustain the population. This general condition prevailing in the country is the one that scares China fears a mass exodus towards its borders by a people to despair, Beijing is essential that North Korea does not turn into a time bomb at their borders and to avert what the Chinese giant has used all his influence to bring Pyongyang to reason. It is not excluded so that the missile tests are not also a warning to China not as a threat but as a signal of increasingly unstable equilibrium within the country, which have access to preclude unwanted scenarios for Beijing, which would , thus invited to worry about the occurrence of situations that are not congenial to China.
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