Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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martedì 21 maggio 2013
Danger of civil war in Lebanon because of Syria
One of the most feared of the Syrian conflict is the enlargement of the fighting in Lebanon, in reality the land of the cedars, the situation is already very difficult and if the brink of another civil war, precisely because of the confrontation between the Scythians and Sunnis. Hezbollah, the largest Lebanese paramilitary organization, is, along with Iran, the main ally of the Assad regime and provided in the ongoing civil war in Syria, many fighters who are fighting for the cause of Damascus, with the evolution of conflict has become the task of Hezbollah inside Lebanon interdiction to prevent the Lebanese Sunnis and work alongside the Syrian rebels. But the whole geography of the country shows a nearly mirror division between Shia and Sunni, which, when it's over, if it ever is over, the Syrian War threatens to explode in an explosion that bring the country to the nth internal comparison.
One of the centers of the Hezbollah movement is the Bekaa valley, where there are daily small contingents to provide support to the Syrian government forces, in this area of Lebanon are concentrated supplies of weapons from Iran, that occur with the logistical support of Syria , it is a key area in the strategy against Israel, because immediately across the border with the Israeli nation, where Islamist militias can do from the rockets at the northern part of the country the Star of David. These stations are often the subject of bombing the Israeli Air Force, which ultimately thwarted supplies of weapons directly hitting stores on Syrian territory. The contribution in men that Hezbollah provide Syria is estimated at between 2,000 and 2,500 fighters, who carry out their action in the town of Quseir, where fierce fighting took place against the Syrian opposition.
But also participates in the Lebanese Sunni conflict, allied to the opposite field to the side of the Syrian opposition, the one that moves these volunteers is not only the religious affiliation, but the need to bring down Assad and his family, to liberate the whole of Lebanon from his evil influence, which in the course of history, has produced destabilizing attacks for Lebanese democracy. In the conception of the al-Assad family, first with his father Hafez al-Assad, then with his son, the current president Bashar al-Assad, Lebanon was seen as a sort of strategic area on which show his influence, also to limit the Israeli action, but this geopolitical conception has often upset the internal balance throwing the country on several occasions in the civil war and bringing a part of the Lebanese people a deep aversion to the regime in Damascus. We understand how these conditions can exacerbate an internal debate that is already in progress, in order to avoid a dangerous situation should be a neutral intervention of the institutions of the United Nations, who were planning a way out to allow a national reconciliation in the case of Assad's fall.
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