The interpretation of Hezbollah's Syrian War

The analysis that Hezbollah is the Syrian crisis is the one that he committed the Western world, the United States and Israel in the head, to destroy what is considered by Islamic militias in Lebanon, the legitimate government of the country. It is a reading conforms perfectly to what was stated several times by Assad, who does not consider the ongoing civil war, as an attempt to delete a dictatorship to affirm democratic reforms in the country, as a prolonged terrorist act serves the purposes of other countries. In fact this may be true only in part: Israel had everything to lose by a fall of Assad at the beginning of the fighting, despite its alliance with Iran, between Tel Aviv and Damascus had established a state of non-belligerency, which Israel allowed the country to easily control the border near the Golan. On the other hand Assad, while in close contact with Tehran, had no interest in changing the status quo. The evolution of the war on Iran, however, has made him the most influential for the support given to the regular forces, and this led to an increase in the level of attention of Israel and the U.S., but at the beginning it was not so: in the wake of the Arab Spring opposition have called for reforms that have not been granted and the attempt to stifle the blood riots sparked the current scenario. More important, however, is probably the role of the Gulf countries, aiming at a change of government in Syria, to promote the acceptance of the Sunnis, in order to have a strategic ally strongly linked to countries Saudis, especially in an anti Iran and then against the Scythians. This strategy also serves to counteract the actions that the Scythians are making in Iraq, attacks by becoming more frequent, to isolate portions of land, in fact a majority growth, the government of Baghdad. As stated by Hezbollah, which Syria would act in a plot hatched by Israel to its own advantage, it seems, therefore, an incorrect reading or deliberately presented in a way not true. The rest use Israel as a scapegoat is always comfortable in Arab countries, more difficult to refer openly to a war inside Islam, in part because it is not functional for the purposes of Hezbollah, which seeks to take every opportunity to spin this policy against Tel Aviv. As a corollary to the analysis, the deputy secretary general of the party of the Lebanese Shiite militia Hezbollah, Naim Qassem said that the organization will not remain indifferent to the situation, launching threats against the Zionist state. Nothing new and declarations of almost circumstance, which were accepted in Tel Aviv with the usual silence and with the usual preparation of the Israeli military ready to face the possible firing of rockets from southern Lebanon. Motivation is also carried by Hezbollah that the ongoing civil war is spurious, because the opposition parties do not intend to sit around a table for peace, appears weak, because due to the lack negotiations is due to the refusal of the regime and the lack of unity of rebels, divided between secularists and Islamists, with the latter pledged to create a caliphate in the country. The intention of Hezbollah is, however, to prevent the country from falling into the hands of rebels or to Westerners, this motivation is totally functional to the very survival of the movement, that without the support of Syria, would see a certain situation where even the alliance with Iran would be drastically reduced, condemning the movement to an isolation, vestibule of defeat and extinction. With this background it is very understandable the heartfelt plea of ​​Lebanese President Michel Suleiman at the United Nations and the Arab League to protect his country from the effects of developments in the Syrian War.