Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 3 giugno 2013
Iraq denies its airspace to Israel for a possible attack on Iran
The warning that Iraq has given to Israel contains important news for Tel Aviv. Baghdad, for the first time explicitly states that will not allow the use of its airspace for a possible action of bombing quote, that Israel intended to do against Iranian nuclear installations considered hazardous to the development of a nuclear device; also the 'Iraq was keen not to know the reaction that Tel Aviv would face if the same would violate the airspace of Baghdad, not to give way to the Israelis to organize the possible counter-moves. This statement of the Deputy Prime Minister of Iraq Hussein Shahristani says explicitly as Iraqis do not intend to derogate from their intentions. It is a new element in the context of possible attack that Israel could lead take against Tehran and which has been discussed for a long time. The Israeli fighter jets to reach Iran, they have the shortest route right through the Jordan, which should allow the transit, and then on the Iraqi skies. This route is the most beneficial because the autonomy of Israeli warplanes is limited. If it is blocked this way, rejecting a priori the way over Syria and not considered probable that it should cover the skies of Saudi Arabia remains the only route through Turkey, with the need to use NATO bases, which are hosted by Ankara, or at least use the in-flight refueling tanker aircraft thanks to the Americans, always perform turkish airspace. Hard to say if Erdogan might give the airspaces of his country, being an accomplice in the eyes of Iranians. In any case, Israel's military plans are complicated somewhat by the decision of Baghdad. Likely reasons are those of Iraq to avoid further internal reasons to Confrontation between Shiites and Sunnis, who is reporting more and more to the high level of violence. On the other hand it is no mystery that Iran is trying to bring his side, if not the whole country, at least, the minority growth, leveraging discrimination perpetrated by Sunnis. The attitude of Iraq is however understandable to several factors: first, as already mentioned, Order of internal politics, the second not to exacerbate the action that is suffering from Iran on its minority births, the third reason concerns the international politics, because they bestow their airspace for Israeli action would be tantamount to complicity that could lead to armed reprisals from Tehran, the fourth factor relates to the contrary attitude to Israel due in respect of the Arab world on the part of a state, which must rehabilitate themselves in the eyes of the world, after the successive governments have supported Saddam in what has been considered by many the American invasion. As is its custom, Tel Aviv has not commented on the news, but you have to believe that alternative plans to strike Iran is still ready.
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