In Morocco, the Islamist government in crisis

A new tough situation could occur in the Arab world and in the southern Mediterranean. The resignation of Ministers of the Government of Morocco, belonging to the Istiqlal Party, an ally of the Islamic Party of Justice and Development, trendy confessional, open an institutional crisis, which can potentially lead to a situation of great uncertainty for the country. These resignations, affecting as many as five of the six departments assigned to the Istiqlal Party, creates a double problem: the first is right inside the party where they would present profound disagreements, so that has been threatened with expulsion for ministers resigned, the second is that current institutional settings, a possible reshuffle might not be long enough for the formation of the majority, the Islamic Party of Justice and Development, it would be impossible to find a political ally of equal weight. Even the possibility of early elections does not seem to alter the existing balance. The clash between the two teams is not, however, a novelty, and focuses mainly on the severity of the economic and social conditions prevailing in the country. The decision to deregulate the prices of some raw materials, due to pressure from the International Monetary Fund, is likely to worsen the situation of the poorest part of the Moroccan people. Opposition parties complain about a disturbing inaction of the government on economic issues, concern shared by the King Mohammed VI, who fears devastating effects on the social peace as a result of possible drastic cuts in the budget, which will inevitably have an impact on the standard of living of population. This scenario presents troubling similarities with what happened in 2011, during the phase of the Arab Spring experienced by Morocco, which did not have the devastating effects that occurred in other countries, thanks to the constitutional reforms initiated by the action of the monarchy. At the base of the protests there were always economic reasons, due to a low standard of living of the population, which is now likely to recur perhaps even worsened by the global economy. What of the economic rationale remains a recurring theme, and increasingly to the fore in the demonstrations that are taking place in the Arab countries, but which do not enjoy the right relief by analysts, who prefer to focus on the aspects, certainly just as fundamental, political rights and social . The fundamental mistake is to separate these aspects, however, have a contiguity inseparable. The awareness on the part of the peoples of their rights are concerned, first of all, the satisfaction of basic needs, which, however, are no longer the exclusive expectations, but are increasingly complemented by accessory needs now considered the same way as basic needs. Only a complete analysis of the demands of the populations may elucidate the mechanisms of rebellions and even the election results, which appear to western eyes often conflicting with the same demands of departure. The situation in Morocco, where the action of the Monarchy has managed so far to mitigate the scenario, avoiding a severe degeneration as in the higher states, can not escape this logic. But it is remarkable that institutions like the International Monetary Fund, do not exercise their functions with greater flexibility, imposing measures ranging to weigh on the largest and poorest people, the most sensitive to the streets, and therefore not contributing to a logic long period. The strict application related only to economic data risks producing violence and instability in situations that would require greater understanding.