Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 3 luglio 2013
The naval exercises with China and Russia and their implications
The naval exercises planned for this week between China and Russia, accounting for Beijing's largest military simulation ever made. China has long been a partner of Moscow in purchases of military equipment in recent times, while between the two countries diplomatic relations at the time of the Cold War were far from good, for opposing views of communism. If Russia's exit from its Soviet past, China has maintained its ideological framework, modeling it on the needs of the great economic boost that has led her to become the second global power. Officially, the great naval maneuvers fall under a plan that aims to coordinate the regional armies, with the purpose of anti-terrorism and will not be an isolated incident, as they are already provided new exercises from next July 27. The military partnership between the armed forces of the two countries is not new, since joint exercises take place already for about 10 years, but an episode on such a large scale had not happened yet. Beijing, previously said that these maneuvers are not a prerequisite for future alliances or may pose a threat to other countries, however, the Chinese navy has previously taken part in anti-piracy exercises, ahead of Somalia, along with the USA, in a very limited . Difficult, however, do not read in the exercises a greater harmony between Beijing and Moscow, as well as the development of a common vision of international politics, which, especially in recent times, held often blocked the action of the UN Security Council. If the formation of a block and compact alternative to the U.S. and the West, it seems still far away, for reasons of both political and economic, one can not but note that the positions of China and Russia were often, if not converged, very close on major international issues and, above all, a long way from Washington. The Chinese will take a more central role in the international arena, much to contend leadership to the U.S., is now, was performed acknowledge, also due to the increasing activism of Beijing all over the world stage, both on the economic side, which, though more subtly and as a direct consequence of the commercial aspect, from the political, while, for now, the military has remained in the background, despite the significant increase in the budget for a total adjustment of the military sector the most advanced and sophisticated technologies. Meanwhile, relations between Washington and Beijing, but remained in substantial diplomatic correctness, have undergone many hardships relating to trade issues, the American invasion in the regions of Southeast Asia, an area held by China of its relevance, until you get to the delicate issues on hacking. The situation between Russia and the USA is even more tense, because of Putin's strategy to awaken the ancient rivalry that prevailed in the Cold War; also the Syrian issue has placed extremely opposing positions on the two sides, who stand respectively for the opposing forces in the field. China, alone, and for the moment, can not undermine American power, the distance is almost filled by the commercial point of view, but also as a blazon political and technical capacity military tactics, Beijing is still far from Washington, conversely Russia is now too far away from the USA, although the knowledge gained nurante the Soviet era, just on the military front, are still an important luggage to be used as a bargaining chip. In short, if divided, China and Russia, despite having huge potential, are still, in a global vision of the power of the nation (blazon, international prestige, military and political factor, productive aspect) lower than the U.S., a potential alliance, also not too stringent, can seriously worry the White House. This is especially true at a single international scenarios rather than as a whole, because imagine too close a relationship between Moscow and Beijing appears impossible, more likely, however, that there may be, in an ever more frequent, tactical alliances from time to time in relation to the issues which may arise on the international scene. In fact this has already occurred, but the military relationship which is becoming balance allows to consider the will of both countries to move towards more collaborative relationships, not only against the U.S. but also against other powers, especially regional. This could lead to a new separation of the world into two blocs? The hypothesis is difficult when you consider the rigid separation on the Cold War, however, a more elastic and flexible assembly with respect to international case studies that you can present a hypothesis is anything but remote and opens the possibility of entirely new scenarios.
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