Worsens the situation in Egyptian politics

Egypt is increasingly divided and the profound differences between the secular and Islamic society, worsens more and more to the progressive stiffening of the respective positions. If in the previous step to the action of the army, which overthrew president Mursi, the squares were the prerogative of the protesters lay, now manifest are the supporters of the confessional, close to political parties outlawed by the intervention of the armed forces. The situation shows that the hopes for an agreed resolution of the crisis were very moved away and could drag the country into a situation very close to civil war. However, the threats of the Islamists to turn the situation into an Egyptian intifada, which could lead to a repeat of the scenario Syrian appear at least exaggerated. The power and structure of the Egyptian army, in fact, allow greater control of the territory and the support of a large part of the population should prevent a drift inside, which occurred in Damascus for the massive support of the working classes. This does not mean total control of the situation can take place in a short time and without any significant difficulty. Opponents are calling for a military solution of the general revolt against what is identified as a coup, which undermines the legitimacy of the new government, it emerged from the polls. If you can identify aspects of legitimacy in this reasoning, it must, however, remember the objective responsibility of Mursi, to which must be ascribed the reasons for the current state of affairs. Failing to take account of political minorities and have joined in a total manner to the demands of Islamic parties, especially on the occasion of the drafting and promulgation of the new constitution, without even considering the requests that came from the other side of the social fabric, political violence has been a , which has de-legitimized the election result, because the highest office of the state was no longer representative of all parts of the country. This feature of the exercise of power by Mursi and parties that supported it has exacerbated a deep disappointment to those who had risked, even in person, during the rebellion against Mubarak, displeasing many, including the armed forces, were inclined to a transition to a more complete application of the rules of democracy. Seen in this perspective, the regulatory action of the army, it loses much of the characteristics of a sudden it was recognized by the very political forces that had reduced the verdict of the polls for their own advantage, by bringing forward the idea to converge in state institutions legal elements of Islamism. Moreover, even the political calculus of the Egyptian army have bordered by rigid constraints has always been identified by international analysts as an example of political short-sightedness, which could have consequences on the part of some secular social so important to the economy of the social scene and political development of the country. To avoid what is happening the interim government has sought from the beginning to include at least parts of the Islamic movements in the transition process, also stating that Sharia is the basis of the legal grounds, but this was not enough to calm the situation, because too large is the anger of the Islamists for what they see as a great injustice. The expected date for the legislative elections is around the beginning of 2014 to be followed by the presidential election. The scenarios that open on the future of Egypt contemplate a range of possibilities that could create a repetition of what is happening these days: it will be necessary to check the availability to participate in the electoral competition by Islamist parties, both from the point of view of their will, within the limits imposed by the military: an absence at the polls would lead to a situation of illegal immigration that would be a constant danger to the stability of the state because it could result in terrorism, not for nothing is done everything to try and give rise to an inclusive process that includes the largest number of political forces. Meanwhile, on the international level, the situation is constantly monitored by the Sinai reinforced contingent of the Egyptian armed forces, especially after the news that several Hamas terrorists would enter the country from the Gaza Strip, to help paramilitary linked to Islamic movements in discounts with the armed forces. The situation concerns both the U.S. and Israel who fear a period of great instability in Egypt, which could encourage support, particularly in weapons, extremist movements in the Gaza Strip. If this event were to take shape in the middle east would open a new front capable of subjecting the fragile regional balance to the test.