Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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giovedì 29 agosto 2013
A possible U.S. attack against Syria will be due to possession of chemical weapons
What seemed like an imminent attack against Syria, for now it is only a threat, which should represent a means of pressure on Assad , but , above all, a ploy to allow the U.S. to buy time. Washington is struggling with the poor reception inside about a military operation in the Middle East , with the divisions between the allies and the increasingly tense relations with Russia. A set of factors which do not facilitate quick decisions , but require the U.S. government to prevaricate still to do. Obama now seems to have taken a different route to justify a possible military action . It is no longer the use of chemical weapons in himself, although always condemned to be central in the reflection of the American president , but the holding and feared proliferation of these weapons . For the United States is the country from Syria to punish because it is , because of its chemical arsenal , a threat to the security of the American state and around the world . The view is , therefore, much enlarged , in an attempt to aggregate a logically shared international opinion , to bring consensus in a U.S. military action , but at the same time , with the clear intention to broaden the debate on these weapons as an opportunity to open a diplomatic negotiation , which starts from an issue of wide-ranging , up to the definition of the Syrian issue . On the other hand it is known that the solution preferred by the White House and the non-intervention in favor of negotiations . The trick to reach an objective , through , however necessary , regulating the issue of chemical weapons in the world, appears willing, but it has obvious drawbacks , which are due to the slowness of the putting into practice of a process, which can not be reconciled with the evolution of the Syrian War . This choice also shows how the U.S. is afraid , especially in the short run , a change dangerous to Damascus to its objectives in the region , which remain the protection of Israel and a state of equilibrium , even precarious , with respect to the possibility of an evolution of the state Syrian government towards a kind of Islamic fundamentalist . It almost seems that the White House wants to show the world you do not want to interfere in the internal affairs of Syria , going in contrast to what has been said. The lesson Iraqi , is the one that scares Obama, who does not forget as the attack on Saddam Hussein was done in the name of the alleged presence of chemical weapons , but never found , which has put the U.S. in a long war from which they are out some winners. The hypothesis of the attack remains , however, on the carpet but in the name of non-proliferation of chemical weapons and not for use against civilians , which seems to fade into the background . In order to justify military action Obama, not wait for the report of the UN inspectors , judged, by now, built on foundations too late , which did not allow an effective data collection, but on information from the U.S. Secret Service . If the use of chemical agents will be confirmed, as is highly probable, the next step may not be the immediate military action , but the involvement of the international scene on the need to eliminate the possibility that these weapons are banned from the theaters of war . This option may lay the legal basis to overcome the opinion of the UN Security Council , by bringing together , even as a member of sanctions against Syria, new countries , so as to broaden the international pressure . It is , however, a hypothesis that can not be taken into account for quick fixes, but which require a very long time . Meanwhile, Russia is about to send naval vessels, including submarines, in the Mediterranean to monitor the situation . The weather is back to the Cold War because it is likely that the tension between Washington and Moscow is destined to rise to the simultaneous presence and at close range of military units of the two countries , faced with the Syrian coast .
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