Developments Egyptians

The evolution of the situation in Egypt, raises about the future of the state, who have many connections and inevitable impact on international politics. The tightening of the armed forces, culminating in a violent application of the takeover has challenged the Western diplomats, who had been rather soft with the coup d'etat of the military because conjured a scenario where the power of the confessional had taken over. If the electoral victory of Mursi, and thus the Muslim Brotherhood, the West had to take note of the decision of the Egyptian people, the epilogue of the polls has never been to the USA I enjoyed it to the EU, who have made the best of a substantially bad game. The irreconcilability extreme emerged between secular and denominational world has resulted in a highly precarious state of equilibrium that has forced the intervention of the army, the punishment of which is an extreme for an excessive closing of the Islamists, in which he played a role not at all secondary contrast, more and more obvious, which is being developed within the Sunni world. That to which we are witnessing is an abrupt reversal of roles between the Shiites and the Sunnis, where a considerable portion of the latter has taken an increasingly intransigent radicalism. At the international level this duality is represented among the different cases present from addresses that have undertaken allied countries, such as Saudi Arabia and Qatar, which are located on diametrically opposed positions with respect to the Egyptian scenery. On the internal level appears at the moment difficult to find an agreement that puts an end to the deep contrasts that are exacerbated by a too violent repression, the social fabric is split and Egyptian influenced by a manifest inability to understand the religious part of the democratic process necessary to restore the conditions for national reconciliation. Despite the violent behavior, the armed forces are the only obstacle to a definitive degradation of the institutions of the country in an authoritarian direction, representing an oxymoron to the manuals of the science of politics. This case, intended to make school in university textbooks, however, must make a move towards a state of complete democracy, because the situation can hold only in the short term pain of transformation into a military regime in all respects. In this can not be considered positive the decision not to proceed with a outlawed Muslim Brotherhood as a political organization. This move, in spite of the leaders of the organization are out of the game, because imprisoned, or worse, killed, takes into account not preclude a possible, although for the moment remote chance to engage in the democratic process across the political landscape of the country, but serves also to the military to send a positive signal to Western countries. On the opposite side the Egyptian armed forces are engaged in a difficult dispute with its U.S. and EU, which are the main financial backers of a country literally on his knees economically: the foreign contributions are essential for functional recovery to social peace and the start of the process of internal pacification. To meet the threat of a disruption of the flow of money, the military has an important card to play, which is constituted by the country's strategic location within the Israeli. The Egyptian attitude is fundamental stability in the region and the position of the military is a guarantee for maintaining the status quo of Israel. At the same time Saudi Arabia is opposed to a return of the Brotherhood because he fears a reflection within their political situation. All of these conditions, which is good not to forget, are maturing in the most influential Arab country, suggest that, despite the threats and the right convictions for the repression of the past few days, Egypt's future is destined to experience a system of government where Islamic radicals, at best, will have a marginal role. But the urgency of the moment are the restoration of calm and speed necessary to prepare new elections attest that the assertion of secular forces, preferably sectarian forces allied with moderate, to achieve the broadest possible spectrum of the political landscape of the country. As for the radicals and extremists, have already had their chance to govern and have wasted badly, ignoring the needs of the country, which are mainly of an economic nature, to impose an overly fundamentalist religion on political life, a factor that sparked the riots of recent times.