Moscow could exploit the uncertainty of the U.S. in Egypt

From this event may arise Egyptian upheavals on the international level, which could have a major impact on the dynamics diplomatic currently in place. It is no secret that for Washington, the Egyptian country remains a key ally for the delicate balance of the Middle East, however, the obvious lack of preparation that took the Obama administration in the face of developments in the crisis, could call into question the supremacy on the floor alliances, U.S. diplomatic. The Egyptian military strong and conscious of the importance of the country's geopolitical position on the chessboard strategy, have been shown not to fear the warnings and especially the U.S. threats of a possible suspension of funding. On the other hand it is difficult for the White House to appear before world public opinion, in the guise of greater lender of a military government, which is beyond the limitations of the use of force. In the coming days will be to force the action of the Egyptian army magazine, if the government in Cairo will not want to incur heavier censorship. But this state of affairs, if the scenario does not allow the U.S. to look again at the side of Egypt, could pave the way for a range of developments likely to significantly change the balance of international relations. Israel was the first to understand this situation, recognizing welcome the change of government in Egypt and tightening increasingly frequent collaborations with the military now in charge. Conversely, the hesitation of Obama have only had the effect of increasing the hostility, already present in the Islamists, to the United States of lay part, that blames Washington not to understand the necessity of an action of force, as well as for reasons of inside, even for the American interests. The reasons that determine the behavior of Obama, however, are understandable: the course of foreign policy of U.S. President focused on a greater disengagement from the international issues that concern countries where the Islamic presence is predominant, in order to avoid that the U.S. should be blamed attitudes against Islam, the rest of the American public, burned by previous in Iraq and Afghanistan supports this new vision that sees the United States, they are still present on the international scene, take a more sheltered. Such a scenario, then marked by a caution, often mistaken for timidity may favor the inclusion of new players looking for an international platform and moved by concrete tactical needs. It is not difficult to find in Putin's Russia, in search of a new starring role on the international scene, one of the possible actors that could fit into alliances and collaborations with Egypt. Moscow is not subject to the influence of public opinion too severe also with respect to alliances not too orthodox, as the case Syrian teaches, so it could easily tighten agreements with a military junta. The need for a greater presence of the Russian Navy in the nerve-center of the Mediterranean, endangered by the uncertain fate of Assad, which provides a base in Moscow on the coast of Syria, could be one of the reasons to try to get in tune with the general Egyptians, also thanks to the robust funding could come from the former Soviet empire. This hypothesis, although far away, the American influence is still present in Egypt, it is not farfetched to consider, because events are moving with a speed that can subvert aspects consolidated. Washington can not ignore this threat diplomatic burden on its exclusive relationships with Egypt, but if it wants to maintain the status quo, military leaders must act to stop the violence and give a different picture of a situation certainly run away from the hands of the armed forces.