Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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venerdì 23 agosto 2013
Syria: the West begins to move against Assad
The use of chemical weapons by the regime in Damascus in the recent massacre that took place in the Syrian, which included the tragic accounts of the victims several civilians, including many children, it could be a response to actions of armed groups from foreign countries and able to subvert the tide of the war. This would be military trained by the CIA in the fields on Jordanian territory, on the border with Syria, and that would include Israeli personnel. The timing of the use of chemical weapons, which took place in the presence of UN inspectors, could be an additional element that can support this hypothesis, as both desperate gesture, which is used as a deterrent against the actual insertion of foreign forces in the highly skilled Syrian civil war. The Obama administration, which is pursuing its policy of non-intervention, strongly opposed to the direct use of American military might well have found a compromise to enter indirectly into the contest, also because of the many reminders from other Western powers, primarily France, and by the American public, especially by the Republican Party. The possible evolution in the theater of war to the intervention of these battalions, could be the creation of a buffer zone in southern Syria, destined to become, probably, a no-fly zone to limit the action of military aircraft related to forces loyal Assad, who have so far allowed to maintain military supremacy over the rebels. A further indication of this development was the installation by the United States, on Jordanian soil, of anti-aircraft batteries since June. The cloth woven by the Americans in a discreet way, it seems so materialize in a gradual but relentless, so as to become a threat to Assad objective. One interpretation of the use of chemical weapons, according to some analysts, is the putting into practice of the threat of their use just as a result of external aggression. It should also be said that so far the threat of Obama, to trigger a U.S. military intervention, identified as the red line do not cross and its consistent use of chemical weapons had remained largely a dead letter, causing several criticisms of Washington administration, despite would have been previously identified up to thirteen cases of chemical attack, although practiced with low intensity. However, the use of chemical agents has never been fully demonstrated for the obstructionism practiced by the regime in Damascus to international inspections aimed to ascertain the truth. Without an official certification is very difficult for Obama derogate from the limits that the United States itself are imposed with respect to a military intervention, however, also influenced by the deep fragmentation of the rebel forces, which include factions also often at odds with each other, given the presence contrasting trends, ranging from secular formations up to radical Islamists close to al Qaeda. While the international Washington is blocked by the opposite action of Moscow, which tends to protect the Syrian regime over the land for their own geopolitical advantages. The feeling that emerges from the evolution of these days is that the conflict in Syria could be at a turning point, although it must still be determined what will Russia and Iran in the case of the Western action and definitely will see a substantial increase in degree to cause the fall of Assad.
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