Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 11 dicembre 2013
American doubts about the true intentions of Iran
The internal and external pressure on U.S. diplomats , who led the negotiations on the Iranian nuclear issue, begins to show that the results achieved are not as clean and safe as at first they wanted to believe. Certainly the change of government in Tehran has produced a change of direction in relations with Washington , which, however , remain officially discontinued by 1980. But the burden of those who are skeptical of the intentions of Iran is increasing , partly because that seeps from the Scythian country , seems to be a behavior in line with the previous executive , only softened by the friendliness of the new members . The fear is that Tehran points once again to gain time to promote the development of military nuclear technology , making concessions , which at first seemed advanced , but in reality they would all be verified. This attitude is inconsistent with the need to mitigate the Iranian sanctions , the central point of the electoral program of Rohani , but at the same time, it could allow local proponents of the necessity of atomic weapons to gain precious time. If so this could mean the nth repetition of the Iranian strategy . The head of American diplomacy , Kerry, while defending the agreement reached with Iran, in front of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the U.S. House of Representatives , he admitted that the behavior of the new Iranian government of the country can not yet be assessed with the ' entire certainty that the words and intentions undersigned, follow the facts. It is a doubt of no small importance , especially if American negotiator expressed by the maximum and what is spent on reaching agreement . It is not clear if the externalization of these questions lie within a specific tactic to persuade the Tehran government to expedite inspections and thus dispel growing doubts about his intentions , or whether they are feelings that the Secretary of State in a sincere try . In this case, Iran would lose probably all credibility and with it the possibility of returning in the international community in its own right , coming out of an increasingly oppressive isolation . This event is the most feared by the Obama administration , which aimed to close the Iranian issue to boost its foreign policy , but it would not be just a failure of the White House , but to give opportunity to all those parts which are always called contrary to the agreement with Iran, precisely because of its unreliability . It is a very long list , ranging from members of the Democratic Party, that the President and the U.S. Secretary of State , the Republican Party , that this eventual defeat can build a strategy able to cheer him up by his electoral defeat , until the Allies skeptics such as Israel and Saudi Arabia. The first step of the agreement signed in Geneva, provides for transitional arrangements is intended to contain Iran's civilian nuclear program in exchange for a reduction of sanctions is a first step you need to show clearly the intentions of Tehran ; without this necessary step in a positive way , the whole system built with hard work by the Swiss negotiations is likely to become waste paper. Do not pass this first step would, however, also an economic loss for Iran, which lies on a Republican proposal to parliament just focused on stiffer penalties. Certainly the situation is a stalemate, if the U.S. Congress welcomes the increased penalties when the process is not yet completed planned, Iran feels entitled not to give way to concessions on inspections, vice versa if Tehran continues in the tactics of procrastination the penalties are increased for sure. Never before has to be in Tehran to prove its good intentions quickly and conduct negotiations with significant and exemplary acts , the Obama administration over so he can not go further.
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