Politica Internazionale

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lunedì 16 dicembre 2013

The facts of North Korea alarmed the world

Recent developments concerning the organization of power in North Korea , they put the alarm in the international scene. After the performance, everyone seemed sudden , Jang Song , 67, uncle of the leader of North Korea , Kim Jong- Un, the North Korean situation in the country is constantly monitored , as far as possible . The assumptions that affect the physical elimination , as well as political , Jang Song of concern about the possibility of a settling of scores inside the regime , with the clear intention of the heir of the dynasty at the helm, to concentrate more and more on there if all authorities the state, through an accumulation of total power . One of the most likely hypothesis , according to analysts , was that the uncle of the dictator , he wanted to make a change , albeit moderate , capitalist mold of the nation , opening , perhaps, the North Korean territory to foreign firms to establish on-site production departments. The victim of the shooting was considered one of the most influential personalities of the regime to have special relations with Beijing , so much so that , according to some was the man of confidence of China, Pyongyang 's only ally recognized and therefore the only country able to exercise some form of influence on the increasingly isolated North Korea. If this fact is confirmed could materialize the biggest international concerns , especially the U.S. , a North Korea escaped out of control and with the atomic bomb in its arsenal . These facts have resulted in a significant voltage rise in Seoul , which fears concretely irresponsible provocations , which makes it impossible any prediction about the future development of the foreign policy of Pyongyang. The concern is that Washington urged not only the entire international community to make a common front against the North Korean threat , but in a special way , in addition to Japan and South Korea , traditional allies of the U.S. , including China and Russia with which diplomatic relations in recent times have not been exceptional , to undertake a concrete path of denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula . The goal , certainly not easily feasible, is to deprive the dictator of North Korea 's nuclear capability . What I worry about most , and the toilets politicians, that the military staffs , is the character of the North Korean leader that is proving increasingly impulsive and unpredictable and therefore difficult to interpret , especially in conditions of extreme stress , which may occur at any time in due to the difficult conditions of the country . The elimination of the number two of the regime of North Korea has already resulted in the increase of vigilance and military deployment as part of Seoul , along the land border of the two Koreas and in the waters of the Yellow Sea . It seems unlikely that the appeals of the U.S. Secretary of State , John Kerry, will be unheeded : the Pyongyang regime is too big a threat to the peace, and regional balance , however, it seems difficult , at this time , we can go beyond a phase of constant monitoring of the activities of North Korea , any action you wish to take against Pyongyang, such as, for example, a tightening of sanctions , it could trigger unexpected reactions , because it could be interpreted as an interference in the internal affairs closely . Another aspect that is worrying is that if Kim Jong-Un wanted to get rid of man 's most trusted China , the aim would be to get out of the influence of Beijing or dealing with the Peoples Republic of China without intermediaries. What is certain is that it is not the first time that we are witnessing such operations in the country of North Korea , but never had been affected personality so high up in the hierarchy . Although there is the possibility that the shooting of the number two of North Korea , is due to purely internal affairs , all linked to power struggles within the highest levels of the hierarchy, the international implications can not remain extraneous to the reorganization of the country's power . The real risk is to attend a new escalation of threats from Pyongyang, which bring further imbalance in one area of ​​the globe , already under heavy pressure for the comparison between China, Japan and South Korea, the issue of the islands contention .

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