Politica Internazionale

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venerdì 14 marzo 2014

Syria: Assad deception of presidential influence on the peace process

The hope of achieving peace , or at least , an agreement that could end the war , through the Syrian presidential election has been wrecked because of the new electoral law passed by parliament in Damascus. In fact, the leaders of the opposition to Assad will be excluded from the elections . This decision puts an end to the efforts , making them vain , negotiations and does not leave any hope for a glimpse at Syria , as specified in the UN mediator Lakhdar Brahimi international , is , in fact, hard to believe that the two parties, who already had large problems to sit at the same table , may still continue in the negotiations. Especially this possibility applies to the opposition, who hoped for a democratic dialogue to arrive at a peaceful transition of power. The trap set by Assad confirms the willingness to reach an agreement has always been a lie to gain time , both at home through repression , both on the international front through the illusion of wanting to participate in a peace process , never actually took seriously. If Russia and Iran, but also the passive attitude of China in the Security Council , have promoted these maneuvers , the attitude of the West available too has contributed equally important to support Assad. A set of timidity , indecision and fear the advance of the fundamentalists has resulted in a passive behavior , which is perched on the belief that participation in the negotiations by the Damascus government was sincere . The carelessness of the tactics the U.S., almost amateurish level , now emerges in all its disarming inadequacy. With this electoral law Assad is virtually certain to remain in power for another seven years and that this confirmation can not continue the martyrdom of the Syrian people . The central point of the electoral law is that it is prevented from competing for the office of president who has not lived in Syria in a manner continued for the last ten years. As we understand the opposition leaders , the ones who have the features to compete with Assad can not arise. Although the new law allows other candidates to show up and has passed the supremacy of the Baath party , in power for more than fifty years , Assad , in fact competitors will not be able to take away the victory . To the grievances of the international scene the Damascus government has argued that the electoral law is exclusively a matter of internal order . This development of the Syrian crisis has , however, the merit of finally clarify things and not to allow illusions of Assad. The Syrian dictator , with this decision, officially becomes unreliable and can not be considered an authoritative interlocutor by Western nations . For Washington, this signal should not need additional interpretations , the Western states , led by the United States should take all necessary action to stop the war and force the Syrian Assad to cede power , this is the only condition to stop the carnage and torture to which the regime is guilty . Settle for the disposal of a part of the arsenal chemical has been a fundamental mistake , which allowed Assad to continue the massacres of opponents , while the White House presented the Agreement on chemical weapons a diplomatic success , quite ephemeral , Assad acted undisturbed making a mockery of the Americans. In addition, the West is now alone, the cooling of relations with Russia, while it prevents shared decisions , on the other hand allows more room for maneuver , provided they are supported by precise intention . With the failure of the negotiations is the only way the military . If the reluctance to engage Western troops on the ground is more than understandable , you can opt for the Prohibition of airspace combined with arms supplies and logistical equipment to the formations of the opposition Democrats to favor the victory . Now this is the only remaining option to end a war that has already lasted too long.

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