Politica Internazionale

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mercoledì 5 marzo 2014

The india starts to vote

One month after the beginning of the complicated electoral system , India is preparing appointment in a climate of great uncertainty. The elections will involve approximately 814 million people , 100 million more than the 2009 consultation , which will be divided into 930,000 polling stations, over a territory from the base of the Himalayas and reaches the southern coast , covering an area of ​​over 3.2 million kilometers square . If the beginning of the election is set for April 7 , the result will be known only on the day of May 16. The two teams that should compete for the win are the Party of the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party and the Congress party , moving up to the moment the government. The results of the action of the Congress party , in power in the country, have been disappointing : in the economic growth has slowed, slowed to 5 %, the endemic poverty , despite the programs , it was not at all defeated and corruption remained high , affecting directly the conditions of the country. On corruption have long been expected decisive action , which , however, suffered repeated delays , until the approval of a law on the subject , which took place a few months after the election date . This episode has played a double value to a negative judgment by the majority of public opinion is about the impunity of officials in charge, is close to the approval of the elections , which was seen as a kind of advertising in favor of the Congress party . All these elements allow to believe for a prediction in favor of the party Bharatiya Janata Party . However, the religious nature of political education , sports apprehension different sectors of Indian society , as the moderates and the Islamists . The latter complain that the leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party, Narendra Modi , collusion with extremist sectors of the Hindu religion , which in 2002 , were involved in the clashes in Guaiarat , which caused more than 1,000 deaths , mostly Muslim. These incidents occurred simultaneously with the arrival in power in the region by Modi. The Congress party opposes a new figure , Rahul Gandhi , 43 , the heir of the historic dynasty that has ruled India several times. For Westerners a victory of Gandhi would be a factor of greater stability , in a future scenario where India will take on more and more importance in an anti Chinese and the country as a possible stabilizer of an area where the presence of Islamic fundamentalists always worries Washington. The U.S. does not want a exasperation of the comparison between Hindus and Muslims , which could generate a great breeding ground for terrorism and go to support existing hazardous situations such as Pakistan and Afghanistan , and indeed India should just assume a certain role in the fight against international terrorism, the U.S. perspective . But this is possible only with a moderate government , which can represent the different denominations and ethnic groups in the country. However, impossible to make a reliable forecast : Traditionally Indian polls are not reliable , however, and given the large fragmentation of the vote on a regional basis , the government will not be able to quit a game of alliances with local bands .

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