Syria towards the presidential election

Syria , still plagued by civil war, prepares for presidential elections on 3 June. According to international diplomacy , which are located near the Damascus regime , the election will be a farce that will allow Assad to continue to remain in control of the country, the sentence comes mostly from Britain and the United States, which has defined the regulation election a mockery of democracy. Even the National Coalition of opposition speaks of farce about the next election, since it is not secured to the Syrian people to exercise their right to vote because of the ongoing conflict conditions that heavily affect the lives of citizens . Assad comes from two elections where plebiscite was present as the sole candidate in 2000 , he was elected with 97.29 % of the vote , while in 2007 he obtained a percentage of 97.62 % of the vote . With the new constitution approved in 2012 the right to passive application has been extended to other candidates , which, however , they must have certain requirements , which make the competition once again in favor of the outgoing president . In fact, to show up to the presidential elections , a candidate must have lived in Syria for at least ten years continuously and have the support of at least 35 members of parliament. With the first condition eliminates all potential candidates belonging to the opposition who have been forced into exile abroad , the second is the application of safeguards Assad safely, given that the majority of the parliament is firmly in the hands of regime. As you can see these conditions can not in any way facilitate a process of peace and relaxation and do not even allow to place the figure of Assad , despite everything, in a new interpretation , as a transition to a shift of power that can possible to avoid a drift fundamentalist Islamic state in Syria. The calculation of Assad is that the division in the civil war between the democratic opposition and extreme fundamentalist , could play in his favor ; this element was certainly true until now and has been the major factor that has enabled the Damascus regime to maintain power . On this same basis as Assad intends to maintain its central role in the state with the goal of maintaining power. But this assumption in the long game seems increasingly unlikely , considering the fact that at the end of the civil war Syria will remain a country totally destroyed and hardly Assad will be the protagonist of the reconstruction. This decision is likely to exacerbate the minds and so close to a possible, though remote, box solution , at least between the regime and the democratic opposition . Another aspect that makes it impossible to judge impartial elections is the fact that Damascus controls a portion of land where he focuses the majority of the population still present in Syria , it is 40% of the territory where it thickens about a percentage between 60 and 70 % of the population ; this data will allow the regime control over the voting process is that the next budget that will only provoke complaints ; while on the other hand the rebels, in their entirety , and then fragmented can check the remaining part of the population ACUI must be added those who are abroad. The victory discounted Assad will only depress all the efforts that are being made at the negotiating table , where after 3 June Assad or his representatives , may sit with an electoral victory the result of a usurpation of democracy, but that will surely be supported by Russia and Iran , bringing more elements of confusion in a climate already largely degenerated .