The danger of a nuclear escalation from the results of the Indian elections

In the Indian elections appears a new cause for concern : the opening of a new nuclear front . What is feared by analysts is that with the victory of the favorite, the Hindu nationalist leader Narendra Modi, the Indian country may revise its nuclear policy , as a weapon against potential conflicts with Pakistan and China. A general statement of the program 's Hindu party says it wants to study the nuclear policy of India to update it to current times . A phrase that can mean everything and nothing , but who professed to be a nationalist party may sound like a warning bell in an area always full of contrasts. The friction between India and Pakistan , both nuclear powers , have threatened in recent times , to evolve into conflicts where nuclear weapons could be used in practice : it is the Kargil war of 1999 and the attack on the Indian parliament in 2001 . If the Hindu fundamentalists were to get to the government with a large majority , the risk of nuclear threat is deemed more than concrete . However, according to Modi, India would still be tied to the principle of not being the first to use nuclear weapons in a potential conflict, but only as a possible answer. But the fact remains that the nuclear arsenal is considered essential because India is considered a great power ; this assumption leads to fear a possible stroke to increase nuclear weapons , sparking a result, a run to the increase of nuclear arsenals in neighboring countries . It would thus experience a phase of growth of nuclear weapons which would trigger deep disagreements on the international diplomatic level . It should be noted that in recent years has developed an aversion also with China , based on fundamentals, but that could be destined to evolve on the military level ; on the other hand the respective strategies of alliances have outlined a framework on net factions in the field . If India is the enemy of Pakistan, China has not hesitated to enter into agreements with this country, but Pakistan has some disagreements with Afghanistan , which has now developed special ties with India. In addition, the heavy military spending backed by Beijing , in order to be able to assert with great power , has alarmed not only the countries of Southeast Asia , but also India , which has in its plans to develop a missile long beam capable of carrying a nuclear warhead . The region is bound to a historical phase of tension if the Hindu nationalists will not be contained by other forces , both domestically and from the ally the U.S. and internationally . But the deeply religious nature of the Indian party set to win the elections will only encourage these contrasts , especially with Pakistan, a Muslim country where the element is increasingly important . The religious factor is likely to become as an aggravating factor in relations between the two countries, both because it is becoming increasingly radicalized . The enlargement of the availability of nuclear weapons technology endangers the peace in various parts of the world today , much more than in that of the years of the Cold War , where the control of atomic force was restricted to only two players and makes it unsafe areas, such as the one between India and Pakistan, the subject of long-standing disputes often affected by armed conflict. The need for an effective moratorium of nuclear weapons on a global scale , it becomes even more necessary, but it would be appropriate that a work of prevention should start from the beginning , well before knowing the outcome of Indian elections , in order to prevent the departure of a potentially dangerous drift .