Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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mercoledì 28 maggio 2014
The Egyptian elections prolonged low turnout
Despite the foregone conclusion , the low turnout in the elections for the Egyptian president , is likely to affect the human victory of the armed forces Al Sisi . The candidate of the military was hoping for a sort of plebiscite to legitimize his rise to power , which comes from a coup and a period of brutal repression , which has also earned the condemnation of the United States . In past elections , the ones that brought to power the candidate of the Muslim Brotherhood , an organization now outlawed, Mursi, the turnout which stood at around 51 %, while after two days set for the current consultation, the voter would be given to the firm 37%. This value , which is considered extremely low to justify a deliberate choice by the majority of the Egyptian people , has prompted the country's institutions to extend by one day the election , justifying it with the heat wave that hit the country and that would prevent voters Egyptians go to the polls . In fact it is a white lie to cover up the failure of elections is not perceived by the population , politically divided and struggling with an economic crisis that has dragged on since the days of Mubarak. Al Sisi the problem of democratic legitimacy is true both on the domestic front and internationally . An election with much higher values , mistakenly anticipated by the establishment military , could have allowed the final isolation of the Muslim Brotherhood , which despite having been beheaded in their leaders and put off by the law, still retain a considerable ability to influence Egyptian politics ; In fact, they are considered the main cause of low turnout , where the lack of one or more lists confessional , is considered an obstacle to participation in the vote . A turnout lower than that elected Mursi Al Sisi puts in a position of distinct disadvantage on the political scene and will force the army to continue its repressive practices to enforce the power of the military. Even the lay members , who at first supported the seizure of power against the Islamic fundamentalists , were then excluded because of the demand for greater law and may not be recognized in an election like this. Not even the presence of a leftist candidate , Hamdeen Sabbahi , which among other things denounced intimidation and violence against its own supporters even within the polling stations did move potential voters , either because they did not want to endorse an outcome widely expected, both because they feared violence and , finally, both for the certainty of fraud. The candidate of the left has also been accused by members of his political party to be only one participant facade by no means democratic elections . At the international level , if the dismissal of the Muslim Brotherhood , guilty of extremism and authoritarianism in the name of religion , had been greeted in a positive way in the beginning, the brutal methods of the armed forces had made disliked by the international community , especially the West, Al Sisi , who was due to go up in Saudi Arabia and Russia to seek international legitimacy . A most striking result , even if only in terms of participation could mitigate this feeling and re-open channels of communication are essential for the sector of the Egyptian economy is the essential tool to limit the dispute. The army and the political party in favor of Al Sisi have also used the threats to the lack of voters in the form of sanctions, but even these have had the desired effect , and the result is a character who struggles to persuade public opinion now fully distrustful of politics. In fact, talking about democracy in Egypt now , only because elections are taking place , it seems a stretch : the country is unable to break the deadlock at the end of the dictatorship of Mubarak and passes from one absolutism , the religious Muslim Brotherhood , to another , military Al Sisi , seamless , highlighting the chronic inability of a country to find a way to trim a democratic type , because of too many influences of the past and an overwhelming force , the armed forces , who do not intend to give up their role as the balance of the nation.
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