Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 16 giugno 2014
The inevitable alliance between the U.S. and Iran
The great American global power is a victim of its own past mistakes and recent choices that will affect the future of the political system of international alliances , even going in the opposite direction to the choices of the past decades . At the original mistake of Bush , the father did not eliminate Saddam at the appropriate time , perhaps realizing what she had to face , was followed by one of the child who responded to a logic election of his party, the electoral investing in a policy of the result of time , which did not take account of the consequences. During the Republican foreign policy was subservient to the war industry and the oil industry, not considering the impact of this choice on the global system of U.S. diplomacy . Obama is also bound to his election program and the mandate , has kept its commitments with the withdrawal of the U.S. military , who left Iraq to fend for himself , a victim of its divisions atavistic , in a context of strong conflict between the various components of the state: this resulted in the easy insertion of the variable extremist , who has earned more wisely exigent circumstances , such as the anger of Sunnis for exclusion from government positions ; In this regard it is necessary to remember that all the iconography in favor of Saddam has reappeared alongside Sunni radicals . Another demerit of Obama was to leave the country , squandering them all efforts , no make up at the bottom of the real conditions in which and to whom the lascivious country. The Iraqi Prime Minister has favored a policy in favor of the Scythians , without including the Sunnis and leaving an uncontrolled autonomy , which smacks of secession, the Kurds . The country is divided into three entities , where only the Kurds is set to establish itself finally as autonomous state entity . At this point , however, the real risk of a fundamentalist Islamic state in the heart of the Middle East is highly likely without a response from the outside. Here materialize the unusual alliance between Washington and Tehran ; in fact, the two states have already worked unofficially for Afghanistan against the Taliban , but now the collaboration has come out , it must be official. Both of the two states to ask for guarantees to gild the opposite side, which would allow the country in collaboration with the inspection opposition. If the U.S. is necessary to conclude an agreement on nuclear power, ask what Iran is more difficult to predict, although the location of Assad could become one of the main conditions . The U.S. will be more exposed to allies to convince Saudi Arabia and Israel in the goodness of the new covenant will not be easy task , but if you can overcome these obstacles will open a new page and so fraught with possibilities, that the entire policy diplomatic world it may be distraught . If this happens in a positive way the U.S. leadership will be strengthened in a manner no more surmountable , even from China.
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