Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 18 agosto 2014
The uneasy truce in Gaza
The most urgent current to the Gaza Strip is to transform the ceasefire respected by both sides since August 11 in a final state. The most urgent problem is to ensure adequate medical care to more than 10,000 wounded Palestinians affected by the action of the Israeli military; In fact, after more than 2,000 direct casualties caused by fire in Tel Aviv, the list of the dead is likely to stretch to the effects of the lack of necessary medical care for those who have suffered particularly severe injuries and disabilities. To make matters worse there are the unhygienic conditions due to damage to the basic infrastructure, such as sewers and aqueducts. Through Egyptian mediation, the two delegations, who have never direct meetings, looking for a solution that appears to be very difficult because of the distances between the two parties. For Israel, it is essential that the Gaza Strip undergoes a process of demilitarization, which guarantees to the Jewish state of not being attacked by Hamas rockets, which, despite heavy losses, could have a considerable arsenal yet. On the other hand, the Palestinian demands appear equally justified, as they aim to break the isolation of Gaza, both from the point of view of the movement of goods, persons, that the denial of the rights to exploit the space water in front of the strip for reasons economic. The Israelis want to continue to maintain the status of Gaza open-air prison, reason that caused the success of Hamas. Without an opening toward better living conditions for the inhabitants of the strip seems inevitable that the people of Gaza to go to meet emerging subjects extremists even more dangerous than Hamas. This contradiction represents a seemingly insurmountable for the Israeli government, which claims to overcome the aversion to Israel only with enforcement and military solutions. Unfortunately, in the state of Israel and especially in the government, in this historical phase, seems to be missing altogether the reasonableness and the tendency to choose the most effective solutions to achieve peace. Thanks to its military supremacy, the Israeli government appears determined to put more and more strict conditions for the Palestinians of Gaza, who, in addition to being victims of an economic crisis much stronger, also due to the isolation imposed by Tel Aviv, now you will find the struggling with the difficulties of the reconstruction which appears difficult. These factors may push the social components of despair in Gaza more exposed to the fundamentalist message, putting Israel in the face of the tragic event to prepare for a season of attacks, which could throw the country into terror. For the moment, Israel is also politically stronger because more cohesive, Israeli society, in its majority has been the influence of right-wing government, which has been able to stimulate the worst fears of the people of Israel. On the contrary, the Palestinians appear deeply divided into several factions that they can not find a common unity of purpose and where extremist movements more radical, far beyond the positions of Hamas, are reaping dangerous consents; Instead we would need a strong moderate leadership, which Abu Mazen, the only significant representative of these characteristics, in this moment can not provide. However, even without reaching a truce officer, is not ruled out the possibility that the cease-fire hang in there, because, on the one hand, Israel is subject to international pressure and still reached the aim to deal a significant downsizing to Hamas, on the other hand Hamas itself is the subject of the internal pressure of the Palestinians, who are increasingly opposed to the launching of rockets into Israel, causing the response of the military to Tel Aviv. This deadlock can be exploited by a neutral international diplomacy to seek a reconciliation, even temporary, but based on more guarantees. The problem is that the main subject appointed to this task, the United Nations, has once again revealed its inadequacy, this was accompanied by a European Union still unable to adopt a structure for international relations until three months after the results European elections. Leave the conduct of the negotiations in Egypt although willing is not enough and is yet another foreign policy failure of the UN and Europe, which for its proximity to the theater of war, it should be automatically involved in negotiations urgent capable of achieving results appreciable.
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