Blog di discussione su problemi di relazioni e politica internazionale; un osservatorio per capire la direzione del mondo. Blog for discussion on problems of relations and international politics; an observatory to understand the direction of the world.
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lunedì 29 settembre 2014
Bulgaria on the eve of the elections divided between Europe and Russia
As they approach the elections, scheduled for October 5, Bulgaria is crossed sentiments favorable to Russia. Historically, the Bulgarian country, when it was in the Soviet bloc, it was the most loyal ally in the Warsaw Pact in Moscow; this favor for Russia does not seem to be mitigated by the entry of Bulgaria into the EU and the Atlantic Alliance. According to some estimates, as many as 40% of the population is opposed to economic sanctions that Washington has imposed on the Kremlin, while only 13% would be beneficial. A recent manifestation of the pro-Russian party has recorded 7,000 admissions. The organizers of this event were the members of the ultra-nationalist party, which sought to find support among the nostalgic friendship with Moscow. This state of affairs has not escaped the Moscow authorities, who need to create a breach in the allies of the United States. Encourage the preference for Russia is easy even for the grave economic situation of the Bulgarian country, which remains in the bottom of the ranking of incomes in Europe. Although the EU is the main donor of Sofia, the perception of the Bulgarian citizens is not completely favorable to Brussels, because of the lack of development, due, however, at least in part to the structural conditions of the country's chronically late. Moscow seeks to exploit this situation, which creates social unrest, adding, as further reason, the cultural issue that unites the two countries, both orthodox religion and they use the same alphabet. These arguments are of no small importance, that would allow Moscow to use Bulgaria as a media platform to make the filter version of the Kremlin from the EU. Between local political forces, the tension between the USA and Russia could be an opportunity to be exploited to stimulate the nostalgic ties with Moscow, but also to use the leverage of possible relapse in the influence Russian view of a part of society as a step back in history. The Socialists promise a balanced policy, solely in the interests of the country; program that can mean everything and nothing, but that probably means a substantial impartiality that would allow a gain on both sides, a sort of dangerous strategy that could result in the country drifts of Ukrainian type. A more rational view is one that sees Bulgaria be based on a management model of German type, according to the program of the right, where the influence of Berlin could be exercised as economic expansion of German companies looking for cheap labor, of course, a this arrangement will preclude any commingling with Moscow. The far-right, anti-matrix, expressed in a manner contrary to an agreement with Russia. In any case, Bulgaria is not yet fully integrated in the European Union due to numerous factors present in the country that prevent a development towards Western standards and, really, the cultural aspect of it represents one of the most decisive. The signs of sympathy toward Russia are a warning not to be underestimated, nor the USA, nor by the EU; despite the small size of the population, which has about 7.5 million inhabitants, the country's geographical location is strategic for both the landlocked But Black, who for the border with Turkey. But more than the geopolitical aspect seems more interesting as an example Bulgarian teach that the inclusion in the EU, a process is far from complete: the basics of accession in Brussels were only economic, but political ones and social have been too long neglected, favoring impulses of opposition to the establishment of the European Community and favor a state that did not leave a good sign, in a democratic sense. This scenario shows how it is necessary to change the policy of the EU, varying its parameters for inclusion and functional convinced the real unification of the continent.
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